Trump will get 15% of the Black Vote

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Esperance, Aug 30, 2020.

  1. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    "In the key swing states the gap is even bigger with 49 percent for Trump to 42 percent for Biden giving the incumbent US President an almost unassailable seven point lead." - Express

    Thr RNC Convention featured more Black speakers than even the DNC Convention did. And they all had credible stories to tell.

    So why will Trump almost double the Black vote from 2016?
    Because the trend of a significant Black Emancipation from the Democrat Party is obvious and undeniable.

    Biden's, "you ain't Black," and his insinuation that the Black community is not diverse, has caused many to rethink their own motivation for remaining loyal, get on your knees, servants to the Democrat Party.

    Many remain loyal to the MLK perspective of non-violence and reject the notion that the violence of BLM is an acceptable alternative.

    And many simply don't want to remain members of a perpetual Democrat Party inspired underclass.

    Trump will get 15% of the Black Vote... (Documented for further reference)
     
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  2. Chrizton

    Chrizton Well-Known Member

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    I wouldn't be surprised to see him go as high as 20% but they are such a small part of the demographics, I doubt it makes much difference.
     
  3. Daniel Light

    Daniel Light Well-Known Member

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    Don't know where you are getting your polling data from, but Real Clear Politics, which averages multiple polls, shows Biden leading in most swing states.
    So I'm going to call bull crap on your thread.
     
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  4. Just A Man

    Just A Man Well-Known Member

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    Don't be surprised when on the day of the election all the polls show Trump winning. At some point the pollsters will want to be as accurate as possible. Presently they are trying to steer the voter. Reminds me of the time I asked an accountant do do a cost analysis report for me. He smiled and asked me how I wanted it to turn out.
     
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  5. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I've told you numerous times that I work on internal polling.

    But my posting is more about going on record with my prediction that Trump will receive 15% of the Black vote, if not more.
     
  6. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump is winning right now. There is no other reason for Biden to schedule, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota and Arizona.

    And Pelosi is urging Biden not to debate for the sake of holding on to her throne. The more Biden blunders, the more likely it will be for the DNC down ballot to tank.
     
  7. yabberefugee

    yabberefugee Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    When t does talk, we will punish Democrat leadership for past crimes and they know it!
     
  8. PPark66

    PPark66 Well-Known Member

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    I’ll take that bet! If Trump gets 15% of the black vote we’ll all know for sure our voting system has been hacked. It’s won’t be an “if” but a “who”.
     
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  9. Lesh

    Lesh Banned

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    Where are you polling?

    Storm front?

    Why in God's name would blacks vote for Trump?
     
  10. ChiCowboy

    ChiCowboy Well-Known Member

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    So, you're leaking Trump's internal polling? What?
     
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  11. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Bet accepted....
     
  12. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    If you follow Trump, he has stated the same as I am. He is ahead in the swing states.

    He now leads even in Minnesota.
     
  13. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    August 30, 2020 Express Index


    National Popular Vote

    • Trump = 48%

    • Biden = 46%

    • Undecided = 6%

    • White voters: Trump = 53% Biden = 46%

    • Black: Trump 20% Biden = 77%

    • Hispanic: Trump 38% Biden = 51%

    Battleground States – Popular Vote

    Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

    • Trump = 48%

    • Biden = 43%

    • Undecided = 9%
    Florida – Popular Vote

    • Trump = 47%

    • Biden = 45%

    • Undecided = 8%
    Minnesota – Popular Vote

    • Trump = 46%

    • Biden = 45%

    • Undecided = 9%
    New Hampshire – Popular Vote

    • Trump = 46%

    • Biden = 43%

    • Undecided = 11%
     
  14. Moriah

    Moriah Well-Known Member

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    Trump will be fortunate to get 5% of the Black vote. I hope he isn't counting on this demographic to help him stay in the White House.
     
  15. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I doubt Trump even gets 1% of the black vote

    Trump best hope is that he can convince blacks not to even bother voting
     
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  16. StillBlue

    StillBlue Well-Known Member

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    Express index? WTF is the Express index? I searched with Google and found nothing after five pages even remotely resembling what you've cited. I quit when I was getting into Texas high school football scores and a Pakistani Urdu newspaper. Perhaps you should try RealClearPolitics, they do a composite of several respected and not so respected polls.
     
  17. PatriotNews

    PatriotNews Well-Known Member

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    I will be disappointed if he gets < 25%.
     
  18. Spim

    Spim Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    How can they squeeze all 4 of those states into his basement?
     
  19. Just A Man

    Just A Man Well-Known Member

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    Simple answer. The blacks who vote for Biden continue to believe and keep hoping that a democrat in Washington for almost 50 years will finally help them economically. The blacks who vote for Trump know he has already helped them economically in under 4 years. Same reason whites will vote for Trump.
     
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  20. Lesh

    Lesh Banned

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    Trump hasn't helped anyone but the ultra rich

    And least of all blacks. Do you think they're stupid?
     
  21. Sirius Black

    Sirius Black Well-Known Member

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    I find it strange when supporters of President Trump claim victory or even excited about getting 15 - 20 % of any group of voters
     
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  22. (original)late

    (original)late Banned

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    If this is the same poll that popped up in another thread (a link would have been nice) then it was done by DI. That's a propaganda outfit controlled by Cato.

    Last time, Trump got a single digit % from Black voters. I can almost guarantee it will be lower this time. There is an epic get out the vote push in Black communities. That's not good for Trump..
     
  23. SiNNiK

    SiNNiK Well-Known Member

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    Trump won last time with no black support. Lots and lots of black people on the "east side" don't register to vote because "that's how they get you for jury duty". It doesn't matter whose sign they have in their yard, they won't be voting any time soon.
     
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  24. Lesh

    Lesh Banned

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    That they don't actually have a chance of getting
     
  25. Just A Man

    Just A Man Well-Known Member

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    You must have been floored when Trump was elected president.
     
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