Is Rasmussen the most accurate poll?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Since this was being stated by many conservative posters that were on these boards yesterday when Rasmussen had Romney ahead, do you all still think Rasmussen is the most accurate and trustworthy poll out there when it shows Obama ahead by two, the largest lead of any pollster posting data since September 17th?

 

All depends on if Willard is leading or not.

 

Cold calling polls = waste of time.

 

Exactly...today it's Gallup is the most accurate since it shows a tie...

TBH...It was funny at first seeing how "most accurate" polls changed daily...now it's starting to get pathetic...

 

thebrucebeat:

It only becomes accurate if you discount the extra ten points Rasmussen gives to every republican...

 

All the polls are clearly fake, Romney has to have a 10 point lead at least, everyone in this country HATES Obama. The only reason Obama pulls ahead is because the media is in the tank for him, and they oversample Democrats. Who cares if there are more registered Democrats than Republicans right now?

Seriously though, the only guy I trust with analyzing polls is Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight. The guy has been right on the money for the past two big elections, he predicted 2008 flawlessly with the exception of one state (NC I believe)

 

A better question would be- which polls are not oversampling Democrats?

 

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Ok. Read it and weep.

 

So today Rasmussen is in the tank for Obama too?
You want to go with that?
Really?

 

.....

But how, if you use pure logic, could it be a tie when Obama is ahead in most contested states, ahead in gender, ahead in ethnic, ahead in class, ahead in Latino, ahead in young college students, while Romney is dog paddling in ever deeper water, and we all now realize he cannot swim....

Romney is behind in every segment of society except the middleaged, white, senile, Viagra chewing male...and those won't make it easily in their Hoverounds to the polls in November.
Color Romney gone....

 

.....

...an even better question would be: why can't you answer the question put forth in the opening thread?

 

I didn't check to see if they over sampled. Did you check? Do you care?

 

Because I have an even better one.

 

Cool. Start a thread.

This one is to see if any of those that were crowing about the accuracy of Rasmussen yesterday have the integrity today to stand by that and say that Mitt is losing.

You don't have to answer, of course, but it would be nice if you are in my thread to address the question posed in it.

 

Are all of you so lacking in scruples that you won't defend your clearly ridiculous partisan agenda?
All you will do is run for the hills and lick your wounds?
Where are you, Rasmussen sychophants?
Where are the defenders of the faith, now that your lover has abandoned you?

 

No guts no glory.

Where are Rasmussen's defenders of just yesterday?

 

Yes, Rasmussen is the most accurate. Everything he's posted has been within the margin of error. +or_ 3% is a dead heat and reflects little more than sample drift. So what's your point?

 

Thanks, did you check the samplings of your OP poll for accuracy?

 

I'm not the one claiming their accuracy.
You aren't following things very well, are you?

 

Finally. Someone with the guts to hang in there with their previous claims.
So we can count on you to back up Rasmussen, no matter where it goes? You have complete confidence in their results?
Fair enough.
Do you consider Mitt losing three points in a day on their poll a matter of concern, or just normal data drift?

 

So according to the "unbubba", Obama may be up as much as five points.
Are you still liking Rasmussen?

 

Sometimes. Media polls are inherently flawed, but Rasmussen does an honest attempt at a straight poll, anyway.

 

So you believe Romney to be losing now?

 

Some was the effect of the liberal media fake firestorm about highly edited video of a strategy meeting. The rest is data drift. There is probably some of both. Funny thing is I'll bet that you get mad when it goes back the other way.

A lie gets a head start and the truth has to catch up.

I'm going to make a prediction.
Romney wins in a walk with a 5% margin minimum.
Obama's followers are not enthusiastic at all. They are not going to get that way either. Especially with the preachers telling them not to vote.
Conservatives and other Republicans are chomping at the bit to get rid of him. They will come out in record fashion.

Republicans gain 10 +or-3 in the Senate,because Democrats have more seats up for grabs, and only 20 +or-5 in the house, because we already had a landslide in the house in 2010.

 

The national polls, and important battleground states ones as well, all show Obama and Romney in close races within the margin of error. It's somewhat foolish to look at polling now.