Kyiv:UAF begin offensive ops in specific areas.

It will be enough to beat the Russians.

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 11, 2024
Jan 11, 2024 - ISW Press



The reported concentration of the Russian military’s entire combat-capable ground force in Ukraine and ongoing Russian force generation efforts appear to allow Russian forces to conduct routine operational level rotations in Ukraine. Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Deputy Chief Major General Vadym Skibitskyi stated on January 11 that Russian forces have 462,000 personnel in Ukraine and that this represents the entire land component of the Russian military. Skibitskyi stated that most Russian units in Ukraine are manned at between 92 and 95 percent of their intended end strength and that the size of the Russian grouping in Ukraine allows Russian forces to conduct rotations throughout the theater. Skibitskyi stated that Russian forces withdraw units that are at 50 percent or less of their intended end strength to rear areas and return them to the front following recovery and replenishment. Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev stated on January 11 that the Russian military has successfully replenished Russian forces in Ukraine through an ongoing crypto-mobilization effort that generated over 500,000 new personnel in 2023.

 

Well done.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 12, 2024
Jan 12, 2024 - ISW Press



Ukraine and the United Kingdom (UK) signed an agreement on bilateral security guarantees pursuant to the G7’s July 2023 joint declaration of support for Ukraine. UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv on January 12 and signed the UK-Ukraine Agreement on Security Cooperation.

 

Where we "we" wrong?

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 13, 2024
Jan 13, 2024 - ISW Press



A recent video appeal by a Serbian mercenary addressed to Russian President Vladimir Putin has unleashed discussions about an ongoing “clan war” within the Kremlin and the Russian information space against the backdrop of the Russian presidential campaign. Serbian sniper Dejan Beric (also known as “Deka”) – who has reportedly fought with Russian forces in Ukraine since Russia’s initial invasion in 2014, conducts Russian mercenary recruitment in Serbia, and became a member Putin’s election team – published a video appeal on January 8 wherein he accused military commanders of the Russian 119th Guards Airborne (VDV) Regiment (106th Guards VDV Division) of mistreating Serbian mercenaries in the “Wolves” (Volki) detachment. Elements of the 119th Guards VDV Regiment are currently operating on Bakhmut’s southern flank near Klishchiivka. Beric claimed that commanders of the 119th VDV Regiment forced Serbian mercenaries to conduct an assault without sufficient weapons, which prompted the entire detachment to refuse to continue attacks and demand a transfer to the nearby Chechen “Akhmat” Spetsnaz units. Beric stated that Russian military officials and police declared that the Serbian mercenaries were deserters and war criminals, disarmed them, pushed them out of their trenches, and forced them to admit that they were spies.

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 14, 2024
Jan 14, 2024 - ISW Press



Russian sources claimed that Russian forces are preparing to launch a new offensive in the coming weeks once the ground freezes in eastern and southern Ukraine. Russian literary critic and alternative historian Sergey Pereslegin claimed on January 12 that Russian forces will launch a large-scale offensive effort in Ukraine sometime between January 12 and February 2 after the ground freezes and likely after Ukrainian forces grow “exhausted” of defending their positions in Avdiivka and east (left) bank Kherson Oblast. Pereslegin claimed that Russians should be more concerned about Russia launching its offensive at the wrong time or making the same “mistakes” that Ukraine made during its 2023 counteroffensive than of a renewed Ukrainian offensive effort in 2024. Pereslegin also expressed concern that Russia does not have enough manpower to conduct the large-scale offensive effort he is anticipating.

 

More bad news for Russian imperialism:
Reuters
Ukraine grain pushes Romanian Constanta port to record ...
BUCHAREST, Jan 10 (Reuters) - Romania's Black Sea port of Constanta recorded its highest grain exports in 2023 thanks to a surge in shipments from Ukraine...
5 days ago
https://www.reuters.com/markets/com...onstanta-port-record-volumes-2023-2024-01-10/

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 16, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 - ISW Press



Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to demonstrate that Russia is not interested in negotiating with Ukraine in good faith and that Russia’s maximalist objectives in Ukraine – which are tantamount to full Ukrainian and Western surrender – remain unchanged. Putin claimed on January 16 during a meeting with Russian municipal heads that “Ukrainian statehood may suffer an irreparable, very serious blow” if the current battlefield situation continues. Putin also reiterated Kremlin allegations of the prevalence of Nazism in Ukraine and claimed that ”such people...cannot win.” Russia’s continued calls for Ukraine’s “denazification” are thinly veiled demands for the removal of the elected Ukrainian government and its replacement with a government acceptable to the Kremlin. Putin reiterated the Kremlin narrative that Ukraine – not Russia – is to blame for the absence of negotiations, claiming that Ukraine’s “peace formula” is actually a continuation of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s ban on negotiating with Russia and amounts to “prohibitive demands” on the negotiation process. Putin claimed that any negotiation process is an “attempt to encourage [Russia] to abandon gains [it] has made in the past year and a half” and that this is “impossible.”

 

Seems like very angry statements from the Kremlin pedo chimp.....all must certainly not be well.

2 expensive planes lost....drone attacks on Voronezh, upcoming Ramstein format on January 23 with lots more goodies.,more nuke threats, anyone see Gerasimov?

 

See impact of US-provided ‘fighting vehicle’ as Ukraine fires toward Russian forces

 

RuZZfascists say you don't defeat a nuclear power??

Really??....ya don't say?

You lost USSR.....and Warsaw Pact?

That's twice defeated?.....Nice!

The third time will be saaawwweeet!

 

Hell yeah, brother!

 

Ukraine strikes Russian Airport, Ukraine claims its EW disabled 50 % of Russian Missiles!

 

What a devastating blow. One strategic attack after another.

Interesting site, but it is sticky -- might want to disable downloads before clicking on it:

1. https://www.hsdl.org › ?view&did=451910
   Strategic Attack: Defined and Refined - Homeland Security Digital Library
   The definition arrived at by the panel members is as follows: Strategic attack is offensive action conducted by command authorities aimed at generating effects that most directly achieve national security objectives by affecting an adversary's leadership, conflict-sustaining resources,

 

Michael Kofman and Shashank Joshi Analyze the Ukrainian Battlefield in 2024

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 17, 2024
Jan 17, 2024 - ISW Press



A Ukrainian intelligence official reported that Russian forces lack the necessary operational reserves to conduct simultaneous offensive efforts in more than one direction in Ukraine. Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Deputy Chief Major General Vadym Skibitskyi reported on January 17 that Russia does not have enough reserves to conduct large-scale offensive operations in several directions at the same time. Skibitskyi stated that it is impossible for Russian forces to conduct strategically or operationally significant offensive operations without “powerful” reserves and implied that Russia does not have such reserves. Skibitskyi noted that mobilization measures are ongoing in Russia, likely referring to the current Russian crypto-mobilization campaign that relies heavily on volunteer recruitment and the coercive mobilization of convicts and migrants.

 

Update from Ukraine | Bashkirs rise against Kremlin | The Collapse of Ruzzia is imminent

 

...it was a snowball fight Denys.....don't get to far ahead of the information....

 

Apparently the regime is cracking down on a local hero, finding excuses to jail him. Could be an interesting situation.

 

yup....but unfortunately whilst I'm all for the casscade collapse syndrome it isn't going to come from the shytehole backwaters...it needs to be within a 10 mile circle of Moscow and St Petes' in order to make a hole in Putin's head

 

It's more about the long-repressed republics breaking away and the RF breaking up similarly to how the USSR did than people suddenly overthrowing the midget's regime in Moscow.

 

Speed this up by giving Ukraine the weapons they need!



Unfortunately, our ruZZkie friend 'scholz' refuses to deliver the Taurus.
Taurus KEPD 350 - Wikipedia

 

Taurus and so much more is needed, certainly. I have faith in the US and Europe coming through in time, though.