Kyiv:UAF begin offensive ops in specific areas.

30 Apr: NO SURVIVORS! Russian Operation Goes HORRIBLY WRONG! | War in Ukraine Explained


Putin in limbo as 'reckless' military casualties cause unrest with Russian elites | Michael Binyon

 

Russians are probing for weaknesses but not finding any.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 30, 2024
Apr 30, 2024 - ISW Press



Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances in the Avdiivka area on April 30 for the first time in several days, while Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces conducted several more attacks in the Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar direction than near Avdiivka. The Ukrainian General Staff’s morning and evening reports on April 30 stated that Ukrainian forces repelled a total of 47 Russian attacks in the Avdiivka direction and 57 Russian attacks in the Bakhmut direction throughout the day, notably a much higher number of attacks in the Chasiv Yar direction than Ukrainian sources have recently reported out on.

 

Seems they want to grind out what territorial gains they can for May 9 or the tsar's next coronation. I hope Ukraine makes them retreat in time for the big day.

 

More signs of desperation in Russia's military.

Reuters
Russia breached global chemical weapons ban in Ukraine war, US saysThe United States on Wednesday accused Russia of violating the international chemical weapons ban by deploying the choking agent chloropicrin against...
53 minutes ago [5/1/24]
https://www.reuters.com/world/europ...l-weapons-ban-ukraine-war-us-says-2024-05-01/

 

01 May: Epic Fail: Russian Flank Attack on Vuhledar Crumbles! | War in Ukraine Explained

 

Why S-400 couldn’t defend itself from ATACMS fired from HIMARS ?

Ukrainian military forces have successfully hit Dzhankoi Air Base which is located in the northern part of Russian-occupied Crimea

Ukraine's military intelligence said the strike damaged four S-400 air defense launchers, three radars including 92N6E Grave Stone Multimode Engagement Radar, an air defense command-and-control center, and other surveillance equipment.

ATES guerrilla movement said in a statement, that the occupiers believed in their newest air defense system so much that they placed warehouses with missiles directly near the launcher Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Kyiv was behind the strike and thanked his top military commander, Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi, for organizing the operation.

In this video, Defense Updates analyzes why S-400 couldn’t defend itself from ATACMS fired from HIMARS ?​

 

The Russians are getting in position for their next move.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 1, 2024
May 1, 2024 - ISW Press



The Russian military is reportedly redeploying elements of the 76th and 7th airborne (VDV) divisions from Zaporizhia Oblast in the direction of eastern Ukraine, likely to reinforce and intensify ongoing offensive operations. Select Russian and Ukrainian sources claimed that elements of the Russian 76th and 7th airborne (VDV) divisions that have been deployed to the Robotyne area in western Zaporizhia Oblast since the height of the Ukrainian summer 2023 counteroffensive are redeploying to new directions, but disagreed on the units redeploying and the areas to which these elements are redeploying.

 

More Russian men dying to satisfy the whims of a tyrant. Some things never change.

"The post-Cold War order in Europe is finished, with Vladimir Putin its executioner. Russia's invasion of Georgia only marked its passing. Russia has emerged as a born-again 19th-century power determined to challenge the intellectual, moral and institutional foundations of the order." Ivan Krastev

 

Anyone who thinks that a negotiated peace with Putin is possible is not paying attention.

HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH, Ukraine: Russian Forces Executed Surrendering Ukraine Soldiers, May 2, 2024.
https://www.hrw.org › news › 2024 › 05 › 02 › ukraine-russian-forces-executed-surrendering-ukraine-soldiers
Ukraine: Russian Forces Executed Surrendering Ukraine Soldiers

Today-Viktor Biliak, a soldier from Ukraine's 110th brigade, was stationed in Avdiivka for 620 days until he and others withdrew from a position on the city's outskirts as Russian forces took full ...
https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/05/02/ukraine-russian-forces-executed-surrendering-ukraine-soldiers

 

The Russians have become predictable.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 2, 2024
May 2, 2024 - ISW Press



Ukrainian intelligence officials identified three Russian efforts to destabilize Ukraine and achieve victory, and both Ukrainian and US intelligence officials issued assessments about the battlefield situation that are consistent with prior ISW forecasts that Russian forces may take Chasiv Yar but are very unlikely to seize major Ukrainian cities.

 

This war will not end well for Putin or Russia.

Sky News
Ukraine-Russia war latest: Moscow rages over Cameron strike remarks; Russia's 'three-part plan' to claim victory
During a visit to Kyiv, Lord Cameron said Ukraine has a "right" to strike inside Russia, just as Moscow's forces are doing. Meanwhile, the fall of the...
LIVE33 minutes ago
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-russia-news-putin-nuclear-live-updates-kyiv-12541713

• Albert Speer: The war is lost.
• Adolf Hitler: [shouting] The war is not lost! The war is not lost! The war will never be lost! We're gonna beat'em, we're gonna beat'em all!

https://clip.cafe/the-bunker-1981/the-war-lost-s3/

 

.....it's a war.....what do they expect to get hurled at them.....bad language...????

 

I don't think it was ever going to end well....I'm hearing protests in Georgia are huge and govt sessions have been cancelled....next domino to fall?

 

“Let us therefore brace ourselves to our duties, and so bear ourselves that, if the British Empire and its Commonwealth last for a thousand years, men will still say: ‘This was their finest hour.”
― Winston S. Churchill

 

The Russians certainly won't have the advantage of surprise.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3, 2024
May 3, 2024 - ISW Press



Ukrainian officials continue to highlight that Russia’s main goal for 2024 remains the seizure of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts as Russian forces plan for their Summer 2024 offensive operation.

 

IOW, the war is not going well for Russia.

Putin Punishes Defense Minister for Ukraine War Shortcomings: ISW
Newsweek on MSN.com
|12 hours ago [May4, 2024]
The Russian leader is reportedly unhappy with Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu's decision-making in Ukraine.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...-for-ukraine-war-shortcomings-isw/ar-AA1o7di4

 

04 May: Finally! Ukrainians UNLEASH GUIDED BOMBS ON RUSSIAN BASES | War in Ukraine Explained

 

The Guided Bombs were a Big Bust D .. unfortunately. How many times does it take for this goober to get things completely backwards for Spidey senses to tingle mate .. perhaps after being wrong 5 times in a row he might not be so credible in eye of beholder.

 

Something must be working for Ukraine or Putin would not be threatening to resort to nuclear weapons.

Newsweek
Crimea, Kherson Videos Show Destruction of Russian Landing Boats
Ukraine has released videos showing its military destroying Russian landing boats in annexed Crimea and in the southern region of Kherson.
.
1 hour ag [May 6, 2024]

 

I think the Russians may have missed their moment. This looks like a day late and a dollar short.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5, 2024
May 5, 2024 - ISW Press



The Russian military reportedly redeployed a battalion of the 76th Airborne (VDV) Division to Kursk Oblast as part of a larger ongoing Russian effort to gather an operationally significant force for a possible future Russian offensive operation against northeastern Ukraine and Kharkiv City.

 

Domestic production of critical weapons systems is ramping up in Ukraine and the rest of Free Europe.

• https://www.ukrinform.net › rubric-economy › 3860512-ukraine-already-producing-artillery-rounds-but-still-relying-on-international-supplies-kamyshin.html
• Ukraine already producing artillery rounds but still relying on ...
• TodayUkraine has already resumed domestic production of artillery ammunition, but, taking into account the huge demand from the Defense Forces, it still relies on supplies of shells from partner countries. That's according to Oleksandr Kamyshyn, the Minister of Strategic Industry, who spoke in Brussels today, at the doorstep of the EU-Ukraine ...
  https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ec...lying-on-international-supplies-kamyshin.html

 

The threat of nukes is always on the table .. same with the US threat - has absolutely nothing to do with what is working and what isn't outside context.

I did hear something about Nato sending troops which is a big deal -- a "red line" warranting reminding of the consequences of attacking the Homeland in such capacity .. These "terrorist attacks" already walking a thin line in the grey zone .. verboten say the USA .. Ukraine one hand tied behind back ..

Regardless .. the terrorist attacks not making a difference to the front line .. where Ukraine is still getting brutalized .. Zelensky himself complaining about the 10-1 artillery differential .. and with that a lopsided casualty ratio -- Ukraine taking far more casualties than their Russian counterparts .. Defections and Surrender is high .. still havn't seen much new weapons showing up of any kind .. the Ukrainians hoping will show up soon .. as the route continues - they can hardly defend their retreat .. never mind defend position in most places.

 

I don't know how they even do it under constant threat of Z missile strikes.

 

Compilation of best strikes on orcs.....love it!

https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1786514187146928615