Georgia Runoff elections - official results

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Statistikhengst, Jan 22, 2021.

  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    So, this is interesting:

    Election Night Reporting (clarityelections.com)

    2021-01-021 GA SEN election final results.png


    In descending order of margin:

    GA-Sen-Spec: Warnock (D) +93,272 raw votes / +2.08%
    GA-Sen: Ossoff (D) +54,944 raw votes / +1.23%
    Public Service Commissioner, Dist. 4: McDonald (R) +33,727 raw votes / +0.78%

    The number of total votes in the GA-SEN races were close to identical to each other:
    4,484,954 total votes in the Loeffler/Warnock race
    4,484,902 total votes in the Perdue/Ossoff race
    That's only a 52 vote difference.

    In 2014, David Perdue won his seat by +7.68%. This means that this GA-Sen seat swung +8.91 points to the Left between 2014 and 2020.

    In, 2016, Johnny Isakson won his seat by +13.75%. Isakson then stepped down, Loeffler was appointed to his seat, which Warnock (D) won, so this GA-Sen seat swung +15.83 points to the left between 2016 and 2020.

    (For reference, former Pres. Donald Trump won GA by +5.09% in 2016. Joe Biden flipped GA with a +0.24% margin, so the state of Georgia swung +5.33 points to the left between 2016 and 2020)

    This was the first time that a Democrat won a Georgia Senate seat since 2000 and the first time since 1996 where both GA Senate seats are in the hands of Democrats.

    All three electoral (county) maps (Sen, Sen and Prez) look identical to each other:

    2021-01-021 GA SEN 2020 county map - politico.png

    2021-01-021 GA SEN-Spec 2020 county map - politico.png

    PS. The numbers in the politico graphics are not as up to date as the end results from the Georgia SOS, but this has no effect on the county electoral maps.

    2021-01-021 GA Prez 2020 county map - politico.png

    The race for Public Service Commissioner was supposed to be an R-blowout. Republicans in Georgia are truly shocked that McDonald barely pulled this one out. No one, and I mean, no one saw this coming.

    So, all three of the very most consequential races in Georgia in the 2020 cycle were won by Democrats. One D-win in this state could be a fluke. But three? Three is a trend.

    GA is now a battleground state for the future to be sure.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2021
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  2. stone6

    stone6 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It's like they say about the three keys to real estate being location, location, location. In Georgia, it's Abrams, Abrams, Abrams.
     
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  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    YEPP
     
  4. Matthewthf

    Matthewthf Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    GA a battle ground state? :roflol:

    Not even close. A combination of reasons allowed the Democrats to win GA and AZ.

    Any state can be won in any election by any party if events push the voters to the other side, people choose not to vote or if there voter fraud.

    By your logic Florida is now a solid RED state because of the big swing to the right the state has taken over past elections.

    You are biased as your posts seem to favor the Democrats. The data you post means nothing more then the Democrats won GA for this election.
     
    Last edited: Jan 24, 2021
  5. Matthewthf

    Matthewthf Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It had little to do with Stacey Abrams unless you know something I do not?
     
  6. Matthewthf

    Matthewthf Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    About 600,000 people who voted Republican on November 3rd chose not to vote in the run offs thus allowing the Democrats to win.

    There is more registered Republicans in GA then there is Democrats.

    Trump lost the state by a little over 10,000 votes.

    WI, PA, AZ, NV and MI were also close races. I like to check the registered voters per party per state to see if a state is moving in another direction.

    As for 2016 states flipped RED due to the blue collar worker force switching sides for that election.
     
  7. stone6

    stone6 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Could be...I listened the Republican head of elections analyze the run-off losses and traced the Senate losses to Trump. But, I still suspect Abrams "gt out the vote" efforts played a significant part as well.
     
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  8. Matthewthf

    Matthewthf Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    She may have got more Democrats to vote but it was not enough to beat the massive advantage the Republicans had but since many Republicans chose not to vote it was enough to barely push the Democrats ahead for the 2 wins. Stacey was not the only one telling Democrats to vote. Hollywood flooded the state and helped with commercials for the Democrats while some Republicans were calling for a boycott and Trump constantly screamed fraud and attacked the Republican leaders in the state.

    Also it was not a presidential election so that may have kept people home.

    I blame it on Trump, Sydney Powell and Lin Wood etc for the result of the GA runoff elections.
     
  9. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    It's really very simple math. Most people understand this.
     
  10. Matthewthf

    Matthewthf Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Georgia has more registered Republicans than Democrats so unless independents vote heavily for a Democrat or Republicans don't vote as was the case here then Democrats can't really win the state.

    GA is no more a battleground state then Texas.

    Republicans closed the registration gap in Florida and Pennsylvania but in PA the Democrats still have a massive lead in registered voters. 2 elections in a row it was close so it could be swing state. Wisconsin was also really close 2 elections in a row.

    Florida and Ohio both took swings to the right (solid red) and Nevada has been close but still a blue state.

    The only RED state that has leaned towards Democrats 2 elections in a row is Arizona and that was probably due to Trump.

    I'm just not seeing what you see. GA went blue this election and we could argue that was because of Trump and others etc.

    If Democrats come close to winning it or do in the midterms and 2024 I will agree with you. Ralph Warnock is up for reelection in 2022.
     
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2021
  11. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Wonderful. Maybe we can learn to agree on something for a change.

    However, your very first statement is a blatant untruth. You know why? Because the state of Georgia is one of the more than 20 states in the Union that neither does voter registration by party affiliation, nor does it publish any voter registration from any select counties by party affiliation, either. Georgia posts voter registration statistics only by:

    -age group
    -gender
    -race

    combined this way:

    2021-01-025 Georgia VR screenshot.png

    but NOT by party affiliation.

    Here the link:

    Voter Registration Statistics | Elections (ga.gov)

    Therefore, your very first words assume "facts" not in evidence, because there is absolutely no data to back it up since the state of Georgia does not, I repeat, does not register voters by party affiliation.
     
  12. ToddWB

    ToddWB Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    https://www.ajc.com/news/nation-wor...nst-rudy-giuliani/KXHHIF3HGNF65BS6P566CUGDKQ/Dominion is suing Rudy for $1.3 billion. In normal times I'd say Dominion is nuts... I've seen more than enough evodence of fraud, but they have over 50 statements from Rudy.. so these daus, who knows?! I do wonder how they are going to circumvent Giuliano's discovery process; which would, finally , get some of the evidence opened to court..... TO THIS DAY< NO COURT HAS ALLOWED THE EVIDENCE TO BE DISCOVERED OR PRESENTED IN THE COURTROOM. Saw that somewhere in the last week or so..
    uh.. quicky https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/nov/29/trump-judges-refuse-look-election-fraud-evidence/ I had to search "no court will examine the evidence in voter fraud lawsuits" to find that.
     
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2021
  13. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Oh, I see. You've seen "evodence".

    Well, ok.....
     
  14. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Hopefully the honest - secure voting State


    Security of the Vote is NOT
    the opposite of Right to Vote as the media sells;
    and too many PF members.

    The election is in November.
    How is closing registration in September a denial of rights?
    End Same Day Registration & Voting for the security of the election.
    No denial of rights involved. Same rights for all.

    And Federally Prohibit Ballot Harvesting in elections involving
    Federal office.


    Easy Peasy
    Except to the cheaters.


    Moi
    :oldman:




    Canada-3.png

    Don't Further :flagcanada:ize
    :flagus:
     
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  15. ToddWB

    ToddWB Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    OHG! PROVED your brilliance once again!
     
  16. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    (Takes a bow)

    You are quite welcome.

    In spite of the spatting here in the politics forum, I do wish you and all of your loved ones good health. Please stay healthy, stay safe. I am talking about C-19, of course.
     
  17. ToddWB

    ToddWB Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Why thank you... over the years we have taken many precautions to avoid nasty bugs. Hope you and your loved ones are doing well too.
     
  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Well, thank you, that is truly nice to read. Yes, we are taking precautions and living life.

    You know, people can fight like cats and dogs about stuff but still be kind to each other and you and I have just proven that. I applaud that.
     
  19. ToddWB

    ToddWB Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    In real life, I MOSTLY avoid bringing up politics.. too many other things to talk about, and I have find that debate is dead anyway. Com'on over the Smarties Bar and grill.. I'll buy you a beer and talk about otehr things
     
  20. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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  21. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    Trump's endorsement of fellow losers Purdue and Loeffler appeared to make the difference in Georgia, but now we know that it was the power of prayer:

    MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell said he prayed for Sens. Warnock (D-Ga.) and Ossoff (D-Ga.) to win their 2021 runoffs
    Lindell made the remark while speaking to a crowd at Trump’s Youngstown, Ohio, losers' grievance jamboree on Saturday.

    Screen Shot 2022-09-19 at 11.09.06 AM.png
    “All of a sudden, I started praying,” said Lindell.
    “I go, ‘God, please let them take both of these senators! ”
     
    Last edited: Sep 19, 2022
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  22. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    Imposing restrictions that impede an American's ability to vote is anti-democratic.

    A Billings judge struck a blow Wednesday against a Montana law restricting how mail ballots can be gathered, siding with a coalition of tribes and Native American advocacy organizations that had argued the rule, passed by voters in 2018, suppressed Native voters.

    Testimony by the plaintiffs, Fehr also wrote, indicates “that BIPA will significantly suppress voter turnout by disproportionately harming rural communities, especially individual Native Americans in rural tribal communities across the seven Indian reservations located in Montana by limiting their access to the vote by mail process.”

    https://montanafreepress.org/2020/07/08/judge-deals-blow-to-absentee-ballot-gathering-restrictions/
     
    Last edited: Sep 19, 2022
  23. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Disagree!

    BTW how was that judge appointed?
    Probably Obama ;)

    Vote by mail is better than ballot harvesters.

    Moi
    :oldman:


    Don't Further :flagcanada:ize
    :flagus:
     
  24. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    LOL

    The craaazy train just keeps on a chuggin, chugging, chuggin...
     
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  25. Phyxius

    Phyxius Well-Known Member

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    Nope. The one, the only (thank the Lord), Donald Judas Trump -- LOSER and future criminal defendant... :buggered:
     

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