Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. LiebenUndLeben

    LiebenUndLeben Banned

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    Also, since alternate views of scientists and medical experts are suppressed, deleted, and threatened by the system, I have to strongly suspect that the Corona/covid thing is a lie designed to stampede people into submitting to fatal injections, and to destroy many productive enterprises resulting in the Richman getting richer and the rest of us getting poorer, especially after the mountain of debt hanging over us comes due or is diluted by inflation.
     
  2. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Today, India has now exceeded 200,000 COVID-19 deaths.
    Also, today, India broke the world record in +cases and set a new record, with almost +363,000 new cases.
    India will go over 18,000,000 total Covid-19 cases tomorrow, 2021-04-028.
    It is now being projected by medical professionals in India that that nation is moving toward a daily death rate of circa 13,000 per day.
    No, I didn't write one zero too many. Really, 13,000. That is MORE than the worldwide daily death average at current.

    The medical infrastructure in many parts of India is simply crumbling for lack of oxygen and hospital beds. It's a crisis that now dwarfs what the USA has experienced thus far. India did not prepare itself for this moment and now we are seeing the results of their lack of preparation and caution.
     
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  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
    Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021
    Screenshot overflow-links: 2020 / 2021-01, 2021-02, 2021-03, 2021-04,


    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Tuesday, 2021-04-027
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    -Weekdays: just barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations, according to THESE STANDARDS.​
    -End of Month (EOM): very large analyses, which you can interpret for yourselves.
    -Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).
    -To do a one-year lookback: as of today, 2021-04-027, simply use the online library-link for the year 2020 (posted at the top of this analysis). I started the official worldwide analyses in a form close to what you see now on 2020-04-027, for 2020-04-026. There is no need to provide individual links every day for a lookback; that's why the online library was created - as a resource for all of us.

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍********* 149,319,167 *********֍֍֍֍Ώ
    OUR WORLD WILL EXCEED 150 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-04-028
    +846,695 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 826,091 = 573.7 new cases every minute, tendency: steady

    +14,792 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,024 = 9 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING JUST UNDER +340,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!
    AT JUST UNDER +363,000 NEW CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD RECORD ON THIS DAY

    INDIA EXCEEDED 200,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 4th NATION TO DO SO
    JAPAN EXCEEDED 10,000 C-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 41st NATION TO DO SO
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    After 122 consecutive days at 28,600,000 total tests, Brazil finally updated the statistic to 43,538,104 on Sunday, 2021-04-025

    2021-04-027 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-04-027 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the screenshot overflow link for the month in question (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +826,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍** 32,927,091 **֍֍֍
    +52,046 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 55,803 = 38.8 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +773 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 704 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    JERSEY IS NOW 9,000 AWAY FROM 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 15th DAY IN A ROW


    2021-04-027 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-04-027 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-04-027 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍******* 17,988,637 *******֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 200,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 4th NATION TO DO SO
    INDIA WILL EXCEED 18 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-04-028
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +200,000 FOR THE 13th DAY IN A ROW & OF THAT, +300,000 FOR THE 7th DAY
    AT JUST UNDER +363,000 NEW CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD RECORD ON THIS DAY

    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING JUST UNDER +340,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!

    +362,902 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 339,948 = 252 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,285 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,656 = 1.8 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +2,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 8th DAY IN A ROW & OVER +3,000 FOR THE 1st TIME

    2021-04-027 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png



    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,446,541 ****֍

    +76,085 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 56,522 = 39.3 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    +3,120 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,399 = 1.7 deaths every minute, tendency: steady

    After 122 consecutive days at 28,600,000 total tests, Brazil finally updated the statistic to 43,538,104 on Sunday, 2021-04-025


    2021-04-027 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,534,313 *****
    +30,317 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 27,770 = 19.3 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +347 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 287 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-04-027 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2021
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  4. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Thus far today, India has recorded just under +380,000 new Covid-19 cases and for the second day in a row, has recorded well more than +3,000 deaths. Since conditions on the ground have barely changed, if at all, then logic dictates that this situation is going to get far worse before it gets better. If India keeps this up for the same amount of time that the USA did during the winter wave, then India will surely surpass the USA in total C19 cases. The USA is currently on the cusp of 33 million total C19 cases.

    It has gotten so bad in India that arch-enemy Pakistan is offering help to India and India is accepting that assistance.

    Now, let that sink in for a moment.
     
  5. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    Well, at least as a glimmer of hope that's a way to turn a disaster into an opportunity for compassion, love and maybe a way for the two countries to bond. But the plight in India is just gut wrenching from a human conscious level. Like, it churns my soul to hear so many suffering, especially the elderly as well as the young.
     
  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
    Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021
    Screenshot overflow-links: 2020 / 2021-01, 2021-02, 2021-03, 2021-04,


    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Wednesday, 2021-04-028
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    -Weekdays: just barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations, according to THESE STANDARDS.​
    -End of Month (EOM): very large analyses, which you can interpret for yourselves.
    -Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).
    -To do a one-year lookback: as of today, 2021-04-027, simply use the online library-link for the year 2020 (posted at the top of this analysis). I started the official worldwide analyses in a form close to what you see now on 2020-04-027, for 2020-04-026. There is no need to provide individual links every day for a lookback; that's why the online library was created - as a resource for all of us.

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍ 150,213,651 ֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    OUR WORLD EXCEEDED 150 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    +894,484 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 826,927 = 574.3 new cases every minute, tendency: steady

    +15,376 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,204 = 9.2 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING JUST OVER +349,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!
    AT ALMOST +380,000 NEW CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD RECORD ON THIS DAY

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    KAZAKSTAN EXCEEDED 10,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 35th NATION TO DO SO
    After 122 consecutive days at 28,600,000 total tests, Brazil finally updated the statistic to 43,538,104 on Sunday, 2021-04-025

    2021-04-028 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-04-028 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the screenshot overflow link for the month in question (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +827,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍** 32,983,695 **֍֍֍
    +56,604 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 54,521 = 37.9 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +953 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 715 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    NEW JERSEY IS NOW 7,000 AWAY FROM 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES
    THE USA WILL EXCEED 33 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-04-029

    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 16th DAY IN A ROW


    2021-04-028 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-04-028 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-04-028 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍******** 18,368,096 ********֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 18 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +200,000 FOR THE 14th DAY IN A ROW & OF THAT, +300,000 FOR THE 8th DAY
    AT JUST UNDER +380,000 NEW CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD RECORD ON THIS DAY

    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING JUST OVER +349,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!

    +379,459 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 349,041 = 242.4 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,647 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,877 = 2 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +2,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 9th DAY IN A ROW & OVER +3,000 FOR THE 2nd TIME

    2021-04-028 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png



    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,523,807 ****֍

    +77,266 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 57,287 = 39.8 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    +3,019 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,379 = 1.7 deaths every minute, tendency: steady

    After 122 consecutive days at 28,600,000 total tests, Brazil finally updated the statistic to 43,538,104 on Sunday, 2021-04-025


    2021-04-028 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,565,852 *****
    +31,539 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 27,366 = 19 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +315 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 291 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-04-028 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2021
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  7. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Worse yet, the numbers out of India are so bone-chillingly terrible that we now then to forget how bad things are also in Brazil. Nothing has changed in Brazil, which is also losing more than 3,000 lives per day.
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2021
  8. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    It's bad everywhere, but at least there's a way to fight this thing now. And from what I read, once we're fully vacced here in the States, we intend to lend our arm then to the rest of the world.
     
  9. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
    Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021
    Screenshot overflow-links: 2020 / 2021-01, 2021-02, 2021-03, 2021-04,


    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Thursday, 2021-04-029
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    -Weekdays: just barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations, according to THESE STANDARDS.​
    -End of Month (EOM): very large analyses, which you can interpret for yourselves.
    -Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).
    -To do a one-year lookback: as of today, 2021-04-027, simply use the online library-link for the year 2020 (posted at the top of this analysis). I started the official worldwide analyses in a form close to what you see now on 2020-04-027, for 2020-04-026. There is no need to provide individual links every day for a lookback; that's why the online library was created - as a resource for all of us.

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍* 151,120,342 *֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    FOR THE 1st TIME EVER OUR WORLD EXCEEDED +900,000 NEW C19 CASES IN JUST ONE DAY
    +906,691 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 828,857 = 575.6 new cases every minute, tendency: rising

    +15,270 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,460 = 9.3 deaths every minute, tendency: rising
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING JUST UNDER +357,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!
    AT ALMOST +387,000 NEW CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD RECORD ON THIS DAY
    THE USA EXCEEDED 33 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    TURKEY IS ON THE CUSP OF SURPASSING RUSSIA IN THE WORLDWIDE C19 RANKINGS
    BRAZIL EXCEEDED 400,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 2nd NATION TO DO SO
    FOR THE 1st TIME EVER, INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE WENT OVER +3,000 PER DAY
    -and at the same time-
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 17th DAY IN A ROW

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-04-025 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-04-025 COVID-19 Worldwide 001- total cases.png
    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the screenshot overflow link for the month in question (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +829,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,044,068 ***֍֍֍
    THE USA EXCEEDED 33 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY

    +60,373 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 53,564 = 37.2 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +870 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 712 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    NEW JERSEY IS NOW 4,600 AWAY FROM 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 17th DAY IN A ROW


    2021-04-025 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-04-025 COVID-19 USA 001- total cases.png
    2021-04-025 COVID-19 USA 002- total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍******** 18,754,984 ********֍
    INDIA WILL EXCEED 19 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 TODAY, 2021-04-030
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +200,000 FOR THE 15th DAY IN A ROW & OF THAT, +300,000 FOR THE 9th DAY
    AT JUST UNDER +387,000 NEW CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD RECORD ON THIS DAY

    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING JUST UNDER +357,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!

    +386,888 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 356,811 = 247.8 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,501 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,055 = 2.1 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 3rd DAY IN A ROW
    FOR THE 1st TIME EVER, INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE WENT OVER +3,000 PER DAY


    2021-04-025 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png



    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,592,886 ****֍

    +69,079 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,107 = 41.7 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,074 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,523 = 1.8 deaths every minute, tendency: rising

    After 122 consecutive days at 28,600,000 total tests, Brazil finally updated the statistic to 43,538,104 on Sunday, 2021-04-025
    On Thursday, 2021-04-029, Brazil revised the total tests statistic DOWNWARD to 43,818,216


    2021-04-025 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png



    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,592,390 *****
    +26,538 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 26,255 = 18.2 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +306 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 294 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-04-025 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2021
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  10. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    In preparation for the end of month April, 2021, here the TRACKING TREE:

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM TRACKING TREE 000.png
     
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  11. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Today, setting a world record in all the wrong ways, India became the first nation on earth to register more than +400,000 fresh C19 infections in one single day.

    Right now, the number stands at +402,110, but that may move ever so slightly up when the day is done.
     
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  12. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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  13. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
    Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021
    Screenshot overflow-links: 2020 / 2021-01,
    2021-02, 2021-03, 2021-04,


    Analysis tables for EOM (End of Month) April 2021, 2021-04-030

    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA), Part 1 of 4 :
    Worldwide and and top 41 nations (split into four postings)

    READ!
    The end-of-month analyses are pretty intensive and take time to do well. Here the schedule:

    -these four postings are the screenshots of the Worldwide figures and the top 41 nations. 26 Of them now over 1,000,000 C19 cases, which means that five nations went over the 1,000,000 mark in April 2021. They are all in part 3 of 4.

    The Worldwide and USA figures are currently preliminary.

    -in about 10 hours, I will publish the final USA figures in the form of a very large analysis, likely spread over 2 postings.

    -Tomorrow, on 2021-04-002, I will then publish the end-analysis for the Worldwide figures for 2020-04-031. WorldOMeter has a "2 days ago" function at its main table, which allows us to wait one more day to see the final numbers. The advantage to this is that nations that may be adjusting their total figures will have one more day to do so. Like the USA analysis, the worldwide analysis will be very large and will likely be spread out over 2 postings. With the USA and Worldwide analyses I will be adding a link to a screenshot overflow thread at my blog. This will be explained in both analyses.

    I've eliminated a lot of extra text in this four postings. If you want to see the monthly + numbers (+cases and +deaths over EOM March 2021), then take a look at columns P and Q in row three for EOM April and in row 33 for EOM March. The exact growth rates will be calculated on a separate table, as always.

    So, let's get started.

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍* 151,999,193 *֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    THE WORLDWIDE DATA IS CURRENTLY ONLY PRELIMINARY

    For more details, see: Worldwide EOY analysis for when it is published on 2021-05-002

    [​IMG]

    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,130,974 ***֍֍֍
    THE USA DATA IS CURRENTLY ONLY PRELIMINARY

    For more details, see: USA EOY analysis for when it is published on 2021-05-001

    [​IMG]
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------​


    INDIA:
    ֍********* 19,157,094 *********֍
    INDIA IS THE NEWEST AND LARGEST EPICENTER OF THE PANDEMIC THOUGHOUT THE WORLD
    INDIA SURPASSED 13,14,15,16,17,18 & 19 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES IN THE COURSE OF APRIL
    INDIA FIRST REACHED +100,000 DAILY C19 CASES ON 2021-04-004 AND ENDED APRIL WITH +400,000
    DAY AFTER DAY IN THIS MONTH, INDIA SET NEW INTERNAL AND WORLD RECORDS

    INDIA EXCEEDED 200,000 TOTAL COVID-19 DEATHS ON 2021-04-027
    THE OXYGEN SITUATION IS SO DIRE IN INDIA, THEIR AIRFORCE / RAIL-SYSTEMS ARE TRANSPORTING O2



    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,665,962 ****֍
    BRAZIL EXCEEDED 13,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-005
    BRAZIL EXCEEDED 14,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-020

    BRAZIL EXCEEDED 400,000 COVID-19 DEATHS ON 2021-04-029


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM BRAZIL 000.png

    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,616,689 *****
    FRANCE EXCEEDED 5,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON 2021-04-010 AND ENTERED THE DAILY ANALYSES

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM FRANCE 000.png


    TURKEY:
    **** 4,820,591 ****
    TURKEY EXCEEDED 4,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-014
    SINCE THEN IT HAS SURPASSED ITALY, UK AND RUSSIA IN THE C19 RANKINGS

    AT THIS PACE, TURKEY WILL EXCEED 5,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES BY 2021-05-006
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM TURKEY 000.png

    RUSSIA:
    **** 4,805,288 ****
    RUSSIA FELL BEHIND TURKEY IN THE C19 RANKINGS ON 2021-04-030


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM RUSSIA 000.png


    UNITED KINGDOM:
    **** 4,416,623 ****

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM UK 000.png



    ITALY:
    **** 4,022,653 ****

    ITALY EXCEEDED 4,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-029

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM ITALY 000.png


    SPAIN:
    *** 3,524,077 ***

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM SPAIN 000.png



    GERMANY:
    *** 3,392,232 ***
    GERMANY EXCEEDED 3,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-011

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM GERMANY 000.png


    ARGENTINA:
    ** 2,977,363 **
    ARGENTINA IS ON THE CUSP OF 3,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES, WILL CROSS OVER BY 2021-05-002

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM ARGENTINA 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2021
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  14. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Analysis tables for EOM (End of Month) April 2021, 2021-04-030

    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA), Part 2 of 4 :
    Worldwide and and top 41 nations (split into four postings)

    COLOMBIA:
    ** 2,859,724 **

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM COLOMBIA 000.png

    POLAND:
    ** 2,792,142 **

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM POLAND 000.png



    IRAN:
    ** 2,499,077 **

    IRAN EXCEEDED 2,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-008

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM IRAN 000.png


    MEXICO:
    ** 2,340,934 **

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM MEXICO 000.png


    UKRAINE:
    ** 2,069,537 **
    UKRAINE EXCEEDED 2,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-023

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM UKRAINE 000.png


    PERU:
    * 1,799,445 *

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM PERU 000.png



    INDONESIA:
    * 1,668,368 *

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM INDONESIA 000.png




    CZECHIA:
    * 1,630,758 *

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM CZECHIA 000.png


    SOUTH AFRICA:
    * 1,581,210 *

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM SOUTH AFRICA 000.png


    NETHERLANDS:
    * 1,496,352 *

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM NETHERLANDS 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2021
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  15. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    SIX million cases in just 30 days? :eek:

    It is already on track to do TEN million in the next 30 and that is ONLY if they manage to FLATTEN the Daily New Cases rate. If it continues on the current UPWARD TREND...

    We are still going to be dealing with this Pandemic next year unfortunately.

    Take care and stay safe.
     
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  16. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Analysis tables for EOM (End of Month) April 2021, 2021-04-030

    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA), Part 3 of 4 :
    Worldwide and and top 41 nations (split into four postings)


    CANADA:
    * 1,219,425 *
    CANADA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON 2021-04-003, 23rd NATION TO DO SO


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM CANADA 000.png


    CHILE:
    * 1,198,245 *

    CHILE EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON 2021-04-001, 22nd NATION TO DO SO


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM CHILE 000.png


    IRAQ:
    * 1,065,199 *
    IRAQ EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON 2021-04-021, 25th NATION TO DO SO



    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM IRAQ 000.png



    ROMANIA:
    * 1,055,265 *
    ROMANIA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON 2021-04-010, 24th NATION TO DO SO


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM ROMANIA 000.png


    PHILLIPPINES:
    * 1,037,460 *
    THE PHILLIPINES EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON 2021-04-026, 26th NATION TO DO SO


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM PHILLIPPINES 000.png


    BELGIUM:
    986,622

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM BELGIUM 000.png



    SWEDEN:
    973,604

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM SWEDEN 000.png


    ISRAEL:
    838,481

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM ISRAEL 000.png


    PORTUGAL:
    836,493

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM PORTUGAL 000.png




    PAKISTAN:
    820,823


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM PAKISTAN 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2021
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  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Analysis tables for EOM (End of Month) April 2021, 2021-04-030

    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA), Part 4 of 4 :
    Worldwide and and top 41 nations (split into four postings)


    HUNGARY:
    779,348

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM HUNGARY 000.png




    BANGLADESH:
    759,132

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM BANGLADESH 000.png


    JORDAN:
    711,373

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM JORDAN 000.png



    SERBIA:
    689,557

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM SERBIA 000.png


    SWITZERLAND:
    659,974

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM SWITZERLAND 000.png


    AUSTRIA:
    618,870
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM AUSTRIA 000.png


    JAPAN:
    586,782

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM JAPAN 000.png


    LEBANON:
    526,578

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM LEBANON 000.png


    UAE:
    520,236

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM UAE 000.png


    MOROCCO:
    511,249

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM MOROCCO 000.png
     
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  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    YES.

    At this rate, within the next two months, India will overtake the USA in total cases and within the next three months (maximum), will also overtake the USA in total deaths.

    The largest and soon-to-be deadliest epicenter of the pandemic is now verifably in India, followed by Brazil, followed by the USA, followed by Turkey. Those are the big four right now.
     
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  19. freedom8

    freedom8 Well-Known Member

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    I respect and admire your dedication for doing all that work. However, I'm reluctant to give these posts a "like". I know you'll understand.
     
  20. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    USA COVID-19 statistical analysis for EOM April, 2021 (2021-04-030)
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)

    ֍֍֍*** 33,103,974 ***֍֍֍
    THE USA DATA FOR APRIL 2021 IS FINAL
    +59,906 daily cases / +848 daily deaths
    +1,937,630 cases over the month before / +24,799 deaths over the month before
    The USA is climbing toward 600,000 total confirmed Covid-19 deaths, but the climb is slowing down


    USA 7-day rolling averages:
    +52,610 new C19 cases per day ( over one month ago: +66,007) / +711 deaths per day ( one month ago: +976 )
    27 out of 30 days in April saw the USA at less than 1,000 deaths per day, showing real progress in combatting the virus

    ---------------------------------------------------------
    The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases in the USA: 9,625 (one month ago: 8,759 )
    Total USA C19 tests: at month's end, the USA was just over 446,600,000 total C19 tests administered

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 000 - FINAL.png

    In the fourth month of 2021, we saw an almost identical amount of monthly +cases (+1,907,793 at end of March, now +1,937,630 at end of April). That being said, there was a reduction in the 7-day rolling average +cases and a reduction in the 7-day rolling average in +deaths over the month before. In this month, the USA also exceeded 220,000,000 vaccinations having gone into peoples' arms, with the declared (and achieved) goal from the Biden administration to reach 200,000,000 injected doses as of the 100th day of the new administration. Also, every single US-American adult is now eligible for a vaccination.

    The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:

    First, here the rubrik table for the last eight days of January, 2021, with the five days in this week highlighted:
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 000 - rubrik worktable.png
    The first three weeks can be found with each Sunday concise analysis.

    For the USA monthly analyses, I now gauge:
    1.) total cases to date
    2.) +monthly cases
    3.) total tests to date
    4.) +monthly tests
    5.) positivity rate
    6.) total deaths to date
    7.) +monthly deaths
    8.) mortality rate

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, Total cases:
    You can see the WorldOMeter's screenshot at the overflow link above. This here is exactly the same data, input into my monthly compare excel table just for the USA:

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 002 - total cases.png

    The nice thing about this format is that the territories are not necessarily shunted off to the bottom of the table. For instance, US Military and Veterans Affairs are ranks 35 and 36. There are now 8 Units, all 8 of them being states, with over 1,000,000 total confirmed C19 cases. To put this in perspective, including the entire USA itself, the entire world has 26 nations that are over the 1,000,000 mark.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + monthly cases,

    Here the monthly +cases, something you cannot see at WorldOMeter:

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 003 - plus monthly cases.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 004 - plus monthly cases.png

    As you can see, just as with both EOM Feburary and March 2021, 5 states within the Union saw more than +100,000 fresh C19 infections during April 2021.
    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total performed tests:



    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + monthly tests:

    The order of total tests you can find at worldometers, but here, the +tests (monthly), which you cannot find at WorldOMeter:


    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, POSITIVITY RATE:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]


    The positivity rate is something that WorldOMeter does not show, but it is very easy to calculate.

    Ignore the top 5 - that's just the excel table going crazy due to a lack of data, but as of row 8 down to row 26, now that is some serious positivity going on. New Jersey was the closest to the national positivity rate this time around.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 005 -total deaths.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 006 -total deaths.png


    49 Units now have at least 1,000 C19 deaths apiece. Texas surged over 50,000 total C19 deaths, the third state within the Union to do this.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + monthly deaths:


    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 007 -plus monthly deaths.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM USA 008 -plus monthly deaths.png

    California suffered three times FEWER deaths in April 2021 than in March 2021.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, Mortality Rate:


    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]


    IN CONCLUSION: while the rest of the world is most definitely in the middle of a raging 3rd wave, the USA is not in what would be it's 4th wave. A lot of factors are probably in play here, the quick vaccination of a large chunk of the US-public being one of those positive factors. Also, the politics coming from the Biden administration are very different than what the American public was hearing from the Trump administration and doubtless this also plays a role. Additionally, there are some large urban areas that may have reached herd immunity and therefore there are less new infections. The unknown in this is is how virulent the UK, South African and more importantly, the Brazilian mutations are and what effect they may or may not have on vaccinations. But it is indeed a relief to see the USA not posting daily +cases in the 6-digit range and +deaths no longer in the 4-digit range. Whereas the USA was very much the main driver of the first two worldwide waves (Spring 2020, late Fall/Winter 2020-2021), it is most definitely NOT the driver of the most recent wave. Neither that nor is the USA the epicenter of the pandemic any more. That honor has been passed onto India, which is posting numbers that dwarf anything the USA has encountered during this pandemic to-date.

    It is my real and fervent hope that the USA will soon have so few daily cases and daily deaths that a monthly report over my beloved homeland would not be necessary anymore.

    -Stat
     
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  21. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Oh, absolutely, I understand. This stuff literally hurts my stomach to have to write. But someone needs to give an accurate testimonial to what is happening and I am the right kind of numbers nerd to do it.

    I find it good that you are joining this thread and contributing. Please continue to do so.
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2021
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  22. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    WORLDWIDE COVID-19 statistical analysis for EOM April, 2021 (2021-04-030)
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)

    Published May 2, 2021
    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍* 151,999,587 *֍֍֍֍֍Ώ

    THE WORLDWIDE DATA FOR APRIL 2021 IS FINAL
    +879,245 daily cases / +14,444 daily deaths

    +22,535,762 cases over the month before / +365,220 deaths over the month before

    Fixed-statistics at EOM APR 2021:
    TOTAL C19 cases: 90 nations with 100,000+, 26 nations with 1,000,000+, 3 nations with 10,000,000+.
    Chile, Canada, Romania, Iraq & the Phillippines all exceeded 1,000,000 total Covid-19 cases in the month of April, 2021.
    Belgium & Sweden are on track to do likewise in the month of May, 2021.
    For the 1st time ever, the world experienced +900,000 new Covid-19 cases in one single day (2021-04-029)!


    There have now been 3,193,235 total COVID-19 deaths worldwide
    France, Russia, India and Brazil crossed over 100,000, 100,000, 200,000 & 400,000 total C19 deaths in this month, respectively.
    The USA is on track to cross over 600,000 total C19 deaths during May, 2021.

    For monthly cases & deaths (top 41 nations) over March 2021, see: new monthly calculation tables below.
    Worldwide 7-day rolling averages: +825,372 new C19 cases per day (was: +578,277) / +13,470 deaths per day (was: +10,278)
    ---------------------------------------------------------

    The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 111,940 (one month ago: 96,459)
    NINETY-EIGHT nations on Earth have now administered +1,000,0000 (or far more) C19 tests.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE 000.png

    The month of April 2021 will go down in Covid-19 history as the month of India, for India took off on a massive wave-curve that is now dwarfing any statistic we have seen thus far anywhere else on the face of the earth. Starting on 2021-04-004, India crossed over +100,000 daily C19 cases and has not since looked back. On the last day of April, 2021, after setting world-record after world record, India clocked in at over +400,000 daily C19 cases. Deaths in India have also taken off and at EOM April, 2021, India just experienced 4 days in a row of at least 3,200 deaths per day. India is suffering a major oxygen (and oxygen production) shortage and is asking for help from outside to get oxygen to hospitals. For this purpose, the India airforce and the national rail system are transporting as much bottled oxygen as they can procure to regions all over India, but most importantly, in Maharashtra (the most populous state in India) and in New Delhi (city population: 30,000,000). The two newer (and far more virulent and deadly) strains of C19 that sprung-up in India, called the "Double Mutant", have now started to spread to the rest of the world. It's so bad in India that sworn nuclear enemy Pakistan has offered help to India and India has accepted. It's looks as if C19 is turning some swords into plowshares...

    The situation in India is so terrible, it makes Brazil's situation look good by comparison, but in reality, nothing has changed in Brazil. Brazil is also more often than not over +3,000 deaths per day and like India, there are makeshift crematoria all over the land. They simply cannot bury their C19 dead fast enough.

    Conversely, in the USA, now 100 days into the new presidential administration, the goal of 100,000,000 vaccine-shots in arms within the 1st-100 days was then doubled and then exceeded. On 2021-04-030, the USA recorded 230,000,000 shots given. Approximately 31% of the adult population is now fully immunized. And it shows in the USA numbers, where the 7-day rolling average in +cases is now around +50,000 and in deaths, well under +1,000.

    This means that while most of the world is suffering a 3rd wave, the USA is not suffering what would have been it's 4th wave.

    A reminder: in March 2021, I upped the number of nations that are being tracked from 28 to 41: Daily tracking extended upward from 28 to 41 nations, posted 2021-03-018,16:46 UTC +1, #13256.

    Of the sum total of 41 nations I have been tracking on a daily basis, there are some other success stories apart from the USA where nations appear to be currently beating C19 back quite successfully, with Israel, Portugal and Morocco leading the way. Also, a number of eastern European nations are showing a reduction in their overall +numbers: Poland, Czechia, Romania, Hungary and Ukraine. More on this below. Reading the numbers that prove this requires some discernment.

    Strangely enough, through all of this, Greece appears to be forgotted in C19 history. Either they are not testing in Greece or there is something there that is keeping C19 effectively at bay.

    On the other hand, but not on the same extreme level as India, Turkey, Iran and Iraq have taken off and are quite obviously experiencing a major surge. At the end of April, 2021, Turkey even surpassed Russia in the C19 rankings and is well on track to exceed 5,000,000 total C19 cases and enter the daily concise analyses.

    In many ways, the UAE, by far one of the 4 richest lands in the world, is an example of how stubborn C19 (meaning, the new mutations) is. The UAE, a land of 9.9 million residents and which has performed more than 4 times as many tests (44.3 million), a land that requires a C19 test and proven vaccination in order to travel, a land with some of the richest people in the world, is still averaging +1,900 cases per day but thankfully, very few deaths. If C19 can hang on in the UAE, then it can hang on literally everywhere.

    In February, I developed the tracking tree (based on the idea of an ancestral family tree design). Here is how the tracking tree looks right now:


    [​IMG]

    The tracking tree is a good way to get a quick and reliable overview of the situation at hand without getting all down in the weeds with too much numerical minutae. It's also an excellent way to determine if your eyes are good or if perhaps a visit to and opthamologist of your choice would be a good thing to do.... :)

    The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
    here the last five days of March, 2021:
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE 000 - rubrik worktable.png
    The first three weeks can be found with each Sunday concise analysis.

    The top 41 nations (all in my current tracking) within the worldwide figures:

    Here the screenshots of the excel tables for 41 top nations nations alongside the worldwide figures today can be found in the pre-analysis reports:

    EOM Pre-analysis tables, Part 1 for 2021-04-030, posted 2021-05-001, 09:42 UTC +1, #13438.
    EOM Pre-analysis tables, Part 2 for 2021-04-030, posted 2021-05-001, 09:51 UTC +1, #13439.
    EOM Pre-analysis tables, Part 3 for 2021-04-030, posted 2021-05-001, 09:59 UTC +1, #13441.
    EOM Pre-analysis tables, Part 4 for 2021-04-030, posted 2021-05-001, 10:05 UTC +1, #13442.

    And the EOM analysis just for the USA: USA EOM analysis for 2021-04-030, posted 2021-05-001, 21:52 UTC +1, #13445.


    WORLDWIDE TOTAL C19 CASES (4 of 6 screenshots from WorldOMeter):
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE original 001 - total cases.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE original 002 - total cases.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE original 003 - total cases.png
    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE original 004 - total cases.png

    The remaining 2 screenshots are at the overflow link at the top of the analysis.



    Always searching to build a better and quicker mousetrap and knowing that the top 41 nations I am tracking on a daily basis account for at least 90% of the Covid-19 activity across the world, I've took the USA monthly excel table I've been using for a while and adapted it vis-a-vis worldwide stats for the top 41 nations being tracked, in 3 major rubriks (cases, deaths, tests) that can be sorted a number of ways and therefore eliminates the need for so many other WorldOMeter screenshots.


    WORLDWIDE TOTAL C19 CASES, DEATHS and TESTS (top 41, monthly calculations):

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE 001 - total cases, deaths and tests.png

    Here we can see that at the end of April 2021, the top 41 nations accounted for 90.55% (March: 90.40%) of all the world's cases and 91.33% (March: 91.33%) of all the world's deaths. You are not seeing double. The top 41 % of worldwide deaths in April 2021 really is identical to the same statistic from March. WorldOMeter does not provided a composite total for all tests, so what you see in the green zone is the sum total for only the top 41, not the entire world.

    Sorted three times in the same table can be good for your eyes. We can see that the top 5 in total cases is not necessarily the same top 5 in total deaths or total tests. For instance, Brazil is rank 3 in total cases, rank 2 in total deaths but rank 11 in total tests.


    WORLDWIDE TOTAL C19 +CASES, +DEATHS and +TESTS (top 41, monthly calculation):

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE 001 - plus cases, plus deaths and plus tests.png

    Here we can see that numerically, India swept past all other nations in +cases (almost +7 million) but Brazil led by far in total deaths (it was already at a peak circa +3,000 per day as India was starting to build momentum, I suspect that India will strongly dominate in +deaths in May, 2021) and the USA led in +tests. Note also that Poland was rank 3 in +deaths. There are just a bevy of such tragedies flying just below the radar for those who are only skimming the headlines.

    WORLDWIDE TOTAL C19 +CASES +DEATHS GROWTH RATE (top 41, monthly calculation):

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE 001 - plus cases and plus deaths growth rate.png


    This method of sorting is better than staring at the +raw numbers and is particularly effective so see how much a nation grew in +cases or +deaths over the month before, because a very small nation may post what looks to be small numbers, but relative to it's total statistics, may represent a large growth rate. I expected India to be at the top of the pile when it comes to +case-growth rate, but I bet that most of you would be surprised to see the Phillippines so close to the top. Sticking with +cases for a moment, worldwide, the growth rate was +14.83% over March, 2021. For the 41 top nations I am tracking, it's +14.96%, almost identical to the overall worldwide number. You can see that the Netherlands (rank 19) came the closest to the worldwide composite value.

    Looking at the growth rate in +deaths, yes, India was close to the top (rank 3) but Ukraine and Hungary are above India. Earlier I wrote that there are signs that the wave is abating in Eastern Europe and this data-point is actually proof of that, because in the +cases-growth rate, Ukraine and Hungary are considerably farther down in the rankings, indicating that their wave is abating, since deaths are a lagging factor relative to case numbers.


    WORLDWIDE TOTAL STATISTICS BY CONTINENT:
    All of the WorldOMeter screenshots of the continental data are at the overflow link at the top of the analysis. Here is the distillation of the top-line data for the continents:

    2021-04-030 EOD & EOM WORLDWIDE continental - EXCEL TABLE COMPARISON CHART.png

    We see a stark statistical rise in Asia, a result of the C19 explosion in India, to be sure.

    So, keeping it more concise these days....our goal is for every country to be more and more like Oceana, where not hardly a case can be found, and just as few deaths.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: May 2, 2021
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  23. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Ok, that's enough numbers craziness for now.

    The only thing that can now help is a gin-and-tonic!!!
     
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  24. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Great job as always, Stat.

    My concern is what is NOT showing in the numbers above.

    If the Double Mutant is raging out of control WITHIN India then it is probably SPREADING elsewhere as people flee from it just as we witnessed occurring when it first arrived in NYC.

    That means that it is probably already in neighboring Pakistan and China and we know that neither of those nations have been upfront and honest when it comes to sharing their actual numbers.

    With that in mind trade has not stopped either and given that India makes and exports 60% of the world's drugs and vaccines the Double Mutant has probably managed to make it to most of the westernized nations and many developing nations already.

    It is only a matter of time before it begins to turn up in the statistics and is confirmed by the testing. By then it will be too late to stop it. Remember that this virus does not need someone who is infected to carry it. It can survive on the shipping materials and infect whomever receives and opens them.

    With suboptimal reporting from Africa and places like Indonesia trying to ignore it I am concerned that we could end up with some serious hotspots where the virus rages unchecked with even fewer resources than those that exist in India. Nations with suboptimal healthcare systems will be overwhelmed quickly and it will spread even further by people trying to flee and carrying the Double Mutant with them.

    I know this all sounds alarmist but this behavior pattern is well established for both the virus and the reaction of those threatened by it.

    If anything now is the time to double down on precautions IMO.
     
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  25. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    HOW DO THESE ANALYSES WORK?
    WHAT'S THE "DISCLAIMER" ALL ABOUT?
    WHAT ABOUT THOSE ONLINE LIBRARIES AND OVERFLOW THREADS?


    Things change with time, and so must I with them. In November of 2020, I posted a disclaimer about the analyses and then linked to it in every report. That disclaimer has changed somewhat and is therefore being re-presented. Consider this posting to be "Disclaimer 3.0"!

    One thing that has changed is how I do the daily concise analyses and instead of pummeling y'all with information at the beginning of every analysis as to what to expect, I am simply quoting it here in this posting. Essentially, I am condensing the four standing links that you have been seeing at the top of each analysis for months on end now + the text portion before the worldwide numbers into one single "Reference Link".

    First: Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021
    That is a really handy tool to find analyses by date or by topic without having to sift through the many thousands of posting on this huge Covid-19 thread.

    Second, the screenshot overflow-links for all 12 months in 2021 have already been created:
    2020 / 2021-01, 2021-02, 2021-03, 2021-04, 2021-05, 2021-06, 2021-07, 2021-08, 2021-09, 2021-10, 2021-11, 2021-12

    Third, these are the current parameters for the daily concise reports:

    -Weekdays: just barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations, from 5,000,000 total C19 cases upwards.
    -End of Month (EOM): very large analyses, which you can interpret for yourselves.
    -Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).
    -To do a one-year lookback: simply use the online library-link for the year 2020.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    -DISCLAIMER-

    If you want to see the analysis for any day I have analyzed, then either use the online library link or go to my sig-file, open the excel table, go to the tab that you want and click on the date you want. My sig-file is going to be here for a long, long time, but when the time comes that it is gone, then feel free to click HERE.

    The excel table now covers the worldwide statistics and (currently) 41 other nations. I may or may not expand that number to between 50-52 by the end of this year. Wait and see how things develop.

    Rolling averages (daily cases / daily deaths): a 7-day rolling average system has been in effect since since 2020-06-029. Also, the positivity rate (number of cases / number of performed tests, depicted as a percentage) was also added to the data at that time.

    Confirming/sorting the data for the analyses? Then go here: WORLDOMETER for the current date -or- here: WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

    Value discrepancies: sometimes there are discrepancies in the +-values (new cases, new deaths) between my excel table and WorldOMeter. This is always and without exception because WorldOMeter changed totals out of the past, usually from one or two days before, after I wrote the analysis. This is happening more often as countries are revising figures more often. Either way, I stick with the + values on my excel table as they are the correct reflection of the numbers as I recorded them. I simply do not have time to be constantly hunting numerical "ghosts" out of the past. If the discrepancy is extreme, I will note it briefly.

    Pertinent only to the USA: that country is analyzed in 57 Units instead of 50 states.

    If the situation in the USA continues to improve, then the day may come where I no longer do monthly USA analyses.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: May 2, 2021
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