Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Saturday, 2021-05-001
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍** 152,795,667 **֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +796,080 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 820,392 = 569.7 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +12,902 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,377 = 9.3 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +371,000 C19 CASES PER DAY!
    CAMEROON EXCEEDED 1,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON 2021-04-030, 98th NATION TO DO SO

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-001 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +820,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,146,015 ***֍֍֍
    +42,041 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 50,909 = 35.4 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +652 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 690 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    NEW JERSEY IS ON THE CUSP OF 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 19th DAY IN A ROW


    2021-05-001 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-001 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-001 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍********* 19,549,656 *********֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 19 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-04-030
    INDIA WILL EXCEED 20 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON MONDAY, 2021-05-003
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 11th DAY IN A ROW

    +392,562 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 371,127 = 257.7 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,688 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,316 = 2.3 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 5th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY OVER +3,000 PER DAY



    2021-05-001 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,725,975 ****֍

    +60,013 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 59,680 = 41.4 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +2,278 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,422 = 1.7 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling


    2021-05-001 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png



    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,642,359 *****
    +25,670 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 24,111 = 16.7 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +192 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 285 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-001 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 2, 2021
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  2. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Sunday, 2021-05-002
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍*** 153,480,141 ***֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +684,474 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 814,199 = 565.4 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +10,020 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,390 = 9.3 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +373,000 C19 CASES AND +3,400 DEATHS PER DAY

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-002 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png
    2021-05-002 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000 - rubrik worktable.png

    2021-05-002 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +820,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,180,441 ***֍֍֍
    +34,426 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 50,865 = 35.3 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +355 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 701 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    NEW JERSEY EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 9th UNIT TO DO SO
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 20th DAY IN A ROW


    2021-05-002 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-002 COVID-19 USA 000 - rubrik worktable.png

    2021-05-002 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-002 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍********* 19,919,715 *********֍
    INDIA WILL EXCEED 20 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-003
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 12th DAY IN A ROW

    +370,059 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 373,345 = 259.3 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,422 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,404 = 2.4 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 6th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY OVER +3,000 PER DAY


    2021-05-002 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,754,910 ****֍

    +28,935 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 59,160 = 41.1 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +1,210 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,407 = 1.7 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-002 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png



    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,652,247 *****
    +9,888 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 22,029 = 15.3 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +113 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 280 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-002 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 3, 2021
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  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Monday, 2021-05-003
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍**** 154,175,226 ****֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +695,085 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 814,679 = 565.7 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +10,586 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,341 = 9.3 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +378,500 C19 CASES AND +3,500 DEATHS PER DAY
    INDIA EXCEEDED 20 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    ARGENTINA EXCEEDED 3,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 CASES ON 2021-05-002

    UGANDA & COSTA RICA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY
    THEY ARE THE 99th & 100th NATIONS TO DO THIS

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-003 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-003 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +815,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,230,561 ***֍֍֍
    +50,120 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 50,788 = 35.3 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +452 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 700 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN US DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 21st DAY IN A ROW


    2021-05-003 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-003 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-003 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍ 20,275,543 ֍֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 20 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 13th DAY IN A ROW

    +355,828 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 378,544 = 262.9 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,438 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,500 = 2.4 death every minute, tendency: slightly rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 7th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY AT +3,500 PER DAY


    2021-05-003 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,791,434 ****֍

    +36,524 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,140 = 41.8 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    +1,054 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,375 = 1.6 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling


    2021-05-003 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png



    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,656,007 *****
    +3,760 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 21,716 = 15.1 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +311 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 268 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-003 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 4, 2021
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  4. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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    India’s problem is so vast that it has a global impact.
     
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  5. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Tuesday, 2021-05-004
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍**** 154,970,169 ****֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +794,943 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 807,286 = 566.6 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +13,933 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,219 = 9.2 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +381,000 C19 CASES AND +3,600 DEATHS PER DAY
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES WENT BELOW +50,000 FOR THE 1st TIME IN 7 MONTHS
    KYRGYZSTAN BECAME THE 101st NATION TO EXCEED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-004 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-004 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +807,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,274,659 ***֍֍֍
    +44,089 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 49,652 = 34.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +895 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 718 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 22nd DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES WENT BELOW +50,000 FOR THE 1st TIME SINCE 2020-10-010


    2021-05-004 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-004 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-004 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍ 20,658,234 ֍֍
    INDIA WILL LIKELY EXCEED 21 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-005
    INDIA WENT OVER OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 14th DAY IN A ROW

    +382,691 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 381,371 = 264.8 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,786 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,572 = 2.5 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 8th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY AT +3,500 PER DAY


    2021-05-004 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,860,812 ****֍

    +69,378 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 59,182 = 41.1 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +3,025 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,361 = 1.6 deaths every minute, tendency: steady

    2021-05-004 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,680,378 *****
    +24,371 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 20,867 = 14.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +257 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 255 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling


    2021-05-004 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2021
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  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    IT'S NOT A MATTER OF "IF" INDIA WILL OVERTAKE THE USA IN TOTAL C19 CASES
    IT'S SIMPLY A MATTER OF "WHEN"

    If you have been asking yourself if it is really possible that India becomes the no. 1 nation in the world in terms of total Covid-19 cases, the answer is a solid YES.

    Let's take a look at the current statistics.

    As of EOD, 2021-05-004, the USA had 33,274,659 cases and India had 20,658,234 such cases. That puts the USA +12,646,425 cases ahead of India.
    Seems like an insurmountable lead, doesn't it? Hovever, it is most definitely not.

    Currently, India is advancing at an astronomical 7-day average of +381,371 cases per day, while the USA is advancing at a 7-day average of +49,652 cases per day, which means that India is advancing +331,719 more cases per day than the USA. As of this point, the math is simple division:

    12,646,425 / 331,719 = 38.1 days, using these exact statistics, until India overtakes the USA in the overall rankings.

    If I handicap those values by estimating that when all is said and done, India will be averaging somewhat less than this and the USA perhaps somewhat more (this is a wee bit subjective and I could end up being very wrong about this, but wait and see), let's assume that within two weeks, India is closer to +365,000 per day than the current +381,371 and the USA, which just barely dipped under +50,000 on the average on a Tuesday, may end up levelling out at about +53,000 would mean that with handicapped values, India would be (on the average) advancing +312,000 more cases per day than the USA. Gee, those are enormous numbers.

    In that case: 12,646,425 / 312,000 = 40.5 days before India would overtake the USA in the overall rankings.

    As you can see, this handicap does not make a huge difference, but it allows us to envision a possible time-frame.

    The truth is probably somewhere between those two estimates, putting the time frame in which India will become the number 1 nation in the world in Covid-19 cases at:

    between Saturday, 2021-06-012 and Monday, 2021-06-014.

    So, in about 5 weeks, assuming that the current trends hold (the USA: falling, India: rising and hopefully then falling some), we will see a major shift in the worldwide Covid-19 statistics.

    But then again, things could suddenly get far, far worse in India, moving this event up in the calendar. I'm simply working with the exact numbers we have now and then handicapping with a little bit of common-sense.

    In two weeks or so, I will revisit this posting and recalculate to see if this scenario is bearing-out, or not.

    -Stat
     
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  7. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Wednesday, 2021-05-006
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍***** 155,816,617 *****֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +846,448 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 800,424 = 555.9 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +14,323 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 13,068 = 9.0 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +386,000 C19 CASES AND +3,600 DEATHS PER DAY
    AT +412,618 NEW DAILY CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD-RECORD ON THIS DAY
    BELGIUM & SWEDEN ARE BOTH ON THE CUSP OF 1,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES

    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES STAYED BELOW +50,000
    MOLDOVA & ARMENIA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED
    THEY ARE THE 102nd/103rd NATIONS TO DO SO

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-005 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-005 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +800,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly more than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,321,244 ***֍֍֍
    +46,585 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 48,221 = 33.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +739 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 687 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 23rd DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES STAYED BELOW +50,000


    2021-05-005 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-005 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-005 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍* 21,070,852 *֍֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 21 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 2021-05-005
    INDIA WENT OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 15th DAY IN A ROW, OVER +400,000 FOR THE 2nd TIME
    AT +412,618 NEW DAILY CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD-RECORD ON THIS DAY

    +412,618 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 386,108 = 268.1 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,982 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,620 = 2.5 death every minute, tendency: steady

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 9th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY AT +3,600 PER DAY


    2021-05-005 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍**** 14,936,464 ****֍
    BRAZIL WILL LIKELY EXCEED 15 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-006

    +75,652 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 58,951 = 40.9 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +2,791 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,329 = 1.6 deaths every minute, tendency: steady

    2021-05-005 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,706,378 *****
    +26,000 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 20,075 = 13.9 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +244 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 245 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-005 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 6, 2021
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  8. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    BELGIUM EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-05-005, THE 27th NATION TO DO SO

    On 2021-05-006, almost as projected HERE, Belgium jumped over the 1,000,000 mark in total C19 cases, making it the 27th nation to reach/exceed this metric.

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 BELGIUM 000 - Belgium goes over 1,000,000 - close up.png

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 BELGIUM 000 - Belgium goes over 1,000,000.png

    I projected that the Belgium would do this Monday or Tuesday of this week.

    In terms of total population (11.6 million residents), Belgium is one of the lesser populated nations on the Earth to already jump over the million-mark.

    I'm publishing the excel-table screenshot and the Belgium close up here right now, the WorldOMeter table you can see tomorrow with the full concise analysis for today. Both screenshots are already time-stamped with EOD (End of Day) for today as Belgium only provides one set of figures per day, very early in may day, and has never changed them even once.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 7, 2021
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  9. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    So, folks, my computer is going into the shop today to get some things done with it.

    I may or may not get it back today, so the analysis for 2021-05-006 may come out pretty late in the day on Friday, perhaps even on Saturday.

    Even computers need a little love now and then.

    And being off the computer for a day would certainly not kill me...
     
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  10. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Well, crap.

    The technician is sick and forgot to cancel my appointment, so I drove a long to to 7 freckles past the mole for... nothing.

    Oh, well, the beauty appointment for my Lappie will just have to wait.

    Time to inject that internet directly into my veins, now....
     
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  11. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    SWEDEN EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON 2021-05-006, THE 28th NATION TO DO SO

    On 2021-05-006, almost as projected HERE, Sweden jumped shortly after Belgium over the 1,000,000 mark in total C19 cases, making it the 28th nation to reach/exceed this metric.

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 SWEDEN 000 - Sweden goes over 1,000,000 - closeup.png

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 SWEDEN 000 - Sweden goes over 1,000,000.png

    I projected that the Sweden would do this Monday or Tuesday of this week.

    In terms of total population (10.1 million residents), Sweden is one of the lesser populated nations on the Earth to already jump over the million-mark. Less people live in Sweden (which is, in terms of landmass, a large nation) than in Belgium, or in all of the US-State of Ohio, for that matter.

    I'm publishing the excel-table screenshot and the Sweden close up here right now, the WorldOMeter table you can see tomorrow with the full concise analysis for today. Both screenshots are already time-stamped with EOD (End of Day) for today as Sweden only provides one set of figures per day, sometime in the late afternoon during my day, and has rarely changed them.

    This the third time in Covid-19 history where 2 nations exceeded the million-mark on the same day. The last time when two nations sprang over the 1,000,000-mark in total C19 cases on the same day was five months ago, on 2020-12-003, when both Poland and Iran exceeded 1,000,000 cases. They were the 13th and 14th nations to do this, respectively. The time before that was on 2020-10-019, when Spain and Argentina joined the million club on the same day, as the 5th and 6th nations to do this, respectively. Today, we just saw the 27th and 28th nations do this, respectively.

    -Stat
     
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  12. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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    How long ago was it when we heard the “ herd immunity” mantra from Sweden? Alas.
    One of the many things which have changed since COVID.
     
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  13. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Thursday, 2021-05-006
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍****** 156,683,924 ******֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +867,307 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 794,797 = 552 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +14,322 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,933 = 9 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +390,000 C19 CASES AND +3,600 DEATHS PER DAY
    AT +414,433 NEW DAILY CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD-RECORD ON THIS DAY
    BRAZIL EXCEEDED 15,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 CASES ON THIS DAY

    BELGIUM EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 27th NATION TO DO SO
    SWEDEN EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 28th NATION TO DO SO
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES STAYED BELOW +50,000

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-006 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    View attachment 146454

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

    I would like to put that 7-day rolling average of +796,000 new C19 cases per day into perspective. This statistic means that right now the world is adding cases that equal slightly less than the TOTAL population of more than either Seattle, WA (USA), Nottingham, England or Nigata, Japan each and every day.


    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,369,192 ***֍֍֍
    +47,948 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 46,446 = 32.3 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +858 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 686 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 24th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES STAYED BELOW +50,000

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-006 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍* 21,485,285 *֍֍
    INDIA WENT OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 16th DAY IN A ROW, OVER +400,000 FOR THE 3rd TIME
    AT +414,433 NEW DAILY CASES, INDIA SET A NEW WORLD-RECORD ON THIS DAY

    +414,433 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 390,043 = 270.8 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +3,920 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,670 = 2.5 death every minute, tendency: steady

    INDIA WENT OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 10th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY AT +3,600 PER DAY


    2021-05-006 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,009,023 *****֍
    BRAZIL EXCEEDED 15 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY

    +72,559 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 59,448 = 41.2 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +2,531 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,251 = 1.6 deaths every minute, tendency: steady

    2021-05-006 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,728,090 *****
    +21,712 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 19,386 = 13.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +219 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 232 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-006 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 7, 2021
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  14. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    For the first time in it's Covid-19 history to-date, India just registered over +4,000 daily deaths.

    In one state in India, Goa, the positivity rate is now over 50%, actually, closer to 57%. And Goa was barely reporting any cases one month ago.
     
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  15. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Friday, 2021-05-007
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 4 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍******* 157,526,969 *******֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +843,045 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 789,626 = 548.4 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +13,917 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,858 = 8.9 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +390,000 C19 CASES AND +3,700 DEATHS PER DAY

    AT 4,998,089 TOTAL C19 CASES, TURKEY WILL ENTER THE DAILY REPORTS STARTING 2021-05-008
    NOT YET IN MY TRACKING: NEPAL RECORDED +8,000 OR MORE +CASES FOR THE 4th DAY IN A ROW
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS NOW AT +45,000, TENDENCY: FALLING

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-007 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    This time I am including the 2nd screenshot because of Nepal, which is beneath my daily top 41 tracking:

    2021-05-007 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-007 COVID-19 Worldwide 002 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)



    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,418,826 ***֍֍֍
    +49,634 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 44,979 = 31.2 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +905 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 694 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 25th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES WENT UNDER +45,000 FOR THE 1st TIME SINCE 2020-10-003

    2021-05-007 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-007 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-007 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍* 21,886,611 *֍֍
    INDIA WILL EXCEED 22 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-008
    INDIA WENT OVER +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 17th DAY IN A ROW, OVER +400,000 FOR THE 4th TIME

    +401,326 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 389,931 = 270.8 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +4,194 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,776 = 2.6 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA: OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 11th DAY IN A ROW, OVER +4,000 FOR THE 1st TIME EVER
    INDIA'S 7-DAY ROLLING DEATH AVERAGE IS NOW SOLIDLY AT +3,700 PER DAY


    2021-05-007 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,087,360 *****֍

    +78,337 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,200 = 41.8 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    +2,217 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,158 = 1.6 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling

    2021-05-007 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,747,214 *****
    +19,124 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 18,646 = 13 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +251 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 227 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-007 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2021
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  16. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Saturday, 2021-05-008
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 5 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍******** 158,309,531 ********֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +782,562 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 787,695 = 547 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +13,083 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,883 = 8.9 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +392,000 C19 CASES AND +3,800 DEATHS PER DAY
    INDIA HAD 11 TIMES MORE +DAILY CASES THAN THE USA ON THIS DAY

    TURKEY EXCEEDED 5,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON THIS DAY, ENTERED THE DAILY ANALYSES
    NOT YET IN MY TRACKING: NEPAL RECORDED CIRCA +8,000 OR MORE +CASES; 5th CONSECUTIVE DAY
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS NOW AT +45,000, TENDENCY: FALLING

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-008 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)



    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,454,581 ***֍֍֍
    THE USA HAD THE LOWEST DAILY +CASES SINCE 2020-09-027, 11 TIMES LESS THAN INDIA ON THIS DAY

    +35,755 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 44,081 = 30.6 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +677 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 697 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 26th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES STAYED UNDER +45,000

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-008 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍** 22,295,911 **֍֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 22 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    INDIA EXCEEDED +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 18th DAY IN A ROW, +400,000 FOR THE 5th TIME
    INDIA'S +DAILY CASES TOTAL WAS 11 TIMES THAT OF THE USA ON THIS DAY

    +409,300 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 392,322 = 272.4 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
    +4,133 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,839 = 2.7 death every minute, tendency: rising

    INDIA: OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 12th DAY IN A ROW, OVER +4,000 FOR THE 2nd TIME
    2021-05-008 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,150,628 *****֍

    +63,268 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,665 = 42.1 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    +2,091 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,131 = 1.5 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling


    2021-05-008 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,769,959 *****
    +20,745 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 17,943 = 12.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +176 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 224 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-008 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png


    --NEW--
    TURKEY:

    ***** 5,016,141 *****
    +18,052 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 23,819 = 16.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +281 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 320 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-008 COVID-19 TURKEY 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 9, 2021
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  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    NEPAL

    Over the 2 last days, I mentioned the country of Nepal in the daily concise analyses. Nepal is not (yet) in my daily tracking.

    Here is Nepal on two maps:

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Nepal - map.png

    [​IMG]

    Nepal is a landlocked country of just under 29 million inhabitants, spread over 147,516 sq Km (57,000 sq mi). In terms of landmass, Nepal is somewhat larger than the state of Iowa and somewhat smaller than the state of Illinois. Most of the country is within the Himalayan mountain chain, making a huge amount of it virtually impassable, especially at the northern border, which is exclusively with China. But on the East, South and West, where is it far less mountainous and considerably more passable, Nepal borders on India, which likely explains the explosion of Covid-19 cases. Like India, is is a (vast) majority Hindu nation.

    Below, the recent stats on the explosion of cases in Nepal in just the last 5 weeks. Some of graphics are in German, but I am sure you can figure it out.

    "Neue Fälle" = new cases, "Todesfälle" = deaths, "Impfungen" = vaccinations, "Impfstoffe" = vaccines, "Fortschritte" - advances or progress.

    Only 1.3% of Nepal has been fully immunized:

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Nepal - look at 001.png

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Nepal - look at 002.png

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Nepal - look at 003.png

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Nepal - look at 004.png

    2021-05-008 COVID-19 Nepal - look at 005.png

    You can see that in just 5 weeks, little Nepal has jumped 90,000 cases. If Nepal moves to an average of +10,000 cases per day (it's closing in on +8,000 right now), this would put Nepal just under the million mark in only 2 months from now.

    What's worrying is that the spread of the virus is even happening in the less passable areas, for instance, in Gandaki.

    The WHO first categorized this country as very high risk at the beginning of the pandemic, because it is overpopulated (for it's size) and very poor, but for a long time, almost nothing happened here, so the WHO moved it to a less endangered category. And now this has happened.

    Here the WIKI on the pandemic in Nepal:

    COVID-19 pandemic in Nepal - Wikipedia

    I am no expert on this nation, but am learning as fast as a person can. The situation does not look good here and the worry is that with Bangladesh already getting hammered and Pakistan picking up on numbers, it could be that the double mutant could spread like wildfire to both SE Asia (Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Vietnam) and cause more pain in Afganistan, Iran and Iraq, in the direction of the Middle East.

    It is also completely impossible to believe that the double mutant has not reached China at all.

    -Stat
     
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  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Sunday, 2021-05-009
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 5 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍******** 158,959,782 ********֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +650,251 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 782,806 = 543.6 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +10,211 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,911 = 9 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +392,000 C19 CASES AND +3,900 DEATHS PER DAY
    INDIA +DAILY CASES: 16.5 TIMES MORE THAN THE USA ON THIS DAY & 56.36% OF WORLDWIDE CASES
    NOT YET IN MY TRACKING: NEPAL - CIRCA +8,000 OR MORE +CASES FOR THE 6th CONSECUTIVE DAY
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS MOVING TOWARD +40,000, TENDENCY: FALLING
    MALAYSIA EXCEEDED 10,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 36th NATION TO DO SO

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-009 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-009 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000 - rubrik worktable.png

    2021-05-009 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)



    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,476,181 ***֍֍֍
    THE USA HAD THE LOWEST DAILY +CASES SINCE 2020-06-015, 16.5 TIMES LESS THAN INDIA ON THIS DAY

    +22,200 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 42,334 = 39.4 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +224 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 679 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 27th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS MOVING TOWARD +40,000
    INDIANA EXCEEDED 10,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 12th UNIT TO DO SO

    2021-05-009 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-009 COVID-19 USA 000 - rubrik worktable.png

    2021-05-009 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-009 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍** 22,662,410 **֍֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 19th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA'S +DAILY CASES WAS 16.5 TIMES THAT OF THE USA ON THIS DAY & 56.36% OF WORLDWIDE CASES
    INDIA WILL LIKELY EXCEED 23 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-010

    +366,499 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 391,814 = 272.1 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +3,748 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,886 = 2.7 death every minute, tendency: steady

    INDIA: OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 13th DAY IN A ROW
    2021-05-009 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,184,790 *****֍

    FOR THE 1st TIME SINCE 2021-03-001, BRAZIL WENT UNDER +1,000 DAILY DEATHS

    +34,162 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 61,411 = 42.6 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly rising
    +934 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,092 = 1.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-009 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,777,087 *****
    +9,128 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 17,834 = 12.4 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +115 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 225 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-009 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png



    TURKEY:
    ***** 5,031,332 *****
    +15,191 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 22,278 = 15.5 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +283 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 312 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2021
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  19. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Monday, 2021-05-010
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 5 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍******** 159,595,344 ********֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    THE WORLD WILL EXCEED 160 MILLION CONFIRMED C19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-011
    +635,562 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 774,303 = 537.7 new cases every minute, tendency: falling

    +10,852 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,949 = 9 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    INDIA JUST ADDED 50,000 DEATHS TO IT'S TOTAL, FROM 200,000 TO 250,000, IN JUST 13 DAYS TIME
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +388,000 C19 CASES AND +3,900 DEATHS PER DAY
    NOT YET IN MY TRACKING: NEPAL - CIRCA +8,000 OR MORE +CASES FOR THE 7th CONSECUTIVE DAY
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES WILL SOON BE UNDER +40,000
    CAMBODIA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 104th NATION TO DO SO

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-010 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-010 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)



    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,515,308 ***֍֍֍
    +38,527 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 40,678 = 28.2 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +367 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 666 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 28th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES WILL SOON GO UNDER +40,000
    EMERGENCY AUTHORIZATION FOR THE PFIZER/BIONTECH VACCINE FOR KIDS AGE 12-15 WAS GIVEN


    2021-05-010 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-010 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-010 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍** 22,991,927 **֍֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 20th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA WILL EXCEED 23 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-011

    +329,517 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 388,055 = 269.5 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +3,879 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 3,949 = 2.7 death every minute, tendency: steady

    INDIA HAS EXPERIENCED OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 14th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA JUST ADDED 50,000 DEATHS TO IT'S TOTAL, FROM 200,000 TO 250,000, IN JUST 13 DAYS TIME

    2021-05-010 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,214,030 *****֍

    +29,240 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,371 = 41.9 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +1,018 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 2,087 = 1.4 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling


    2021-05-010 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,780,379 *****
    +3,292 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 17,767 = 12.3 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +292 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 222 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-010 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png



    TURKEY:
    ***** 5,044,936 *****
    +13,604 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 20,688 = 14.4 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +282 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 303 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-010 COVID-19 TURKEY 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 11, 2021
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  20. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Tuesday, 2021-05-011
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 5 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍֍ 160,319,983 ֍֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    THE WORLD EXCEEDED 160 MILLION CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    +724,639 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 764,259 = 530.7 new cases every minute, tendency: falling

    +13,495 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,886 = 8.9 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +383,000 C19 CASES AND +4,008 DEATHS PER DAY
    INDIA IS THE ONLY NATION ON EARTH TO HAVE REACHED A DAILY AVERAGE OF +4,000 DEATHS
    NOT YET IN MY TRACKING: NEPAL - CIRCA +8,000 OR MORE +CASES FOR THE 8th CONSECUTIVE DAY
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS NOW UNDER +40,000
    SINGAPORE EXCEEDED 10,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 37th NATION TO DO SO

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-011 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-011 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)



    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,550,115 ***֍֍֍
    +34,807 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 39,351 = 27.4 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +767 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 648 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 29th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS NOW UNDER +40,000



    2021-05-011 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-011 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-011 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍*** 23,340,426 ***֍֍
    INDIA EXCEEDED 23 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    INDIA EXCEEDED +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 21st DAY IN A ROW

    +348,499 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 383,170 = 266.1 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +4,200 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 4,008 = 2.8 death every minute, tendency: steady

    INDIA HAS EXPERIENCED OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 15th DAY IN A ROW
    INDIA IS THE ONLY NATION ON EARTH TO HAVE REACHED A DAILY AVERAGE OF +4,000 DEATHS


    2021-05-011 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png

    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,285,048 *****֍

    +71,018 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,605 = 42.1 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +2,275 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 1,980 = 1.4 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-011 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,800,170 *****
    +19,791 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 17,113 = 11.9 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +251 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 221 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-011 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png



    TURKEY:
    ***** 5,059,433 *****
    +14,497 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 18,616 = 12.9 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +278 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 295 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-011 COVID-19 TURKEY 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2021
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  21. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    I would like to make some observations apart from the concise analysis from Tuesday 2021-05-011.

    First, there is the appearance that +cases on India are going down somewhat, but I write "appearance" only because India has not yet reached +400,000 daily cases on any given day in this week yet. There are still 5 more days left in this week...

    We saw this happen in the USA in the Fall, where the wave hit like a tsunami, then receeded a little bit and then hit again.

    So, the +case average in India has indeed receeded, but I am not convinced that it is a permanent thing. In fact, it may even be a harbinger of worse numbers to come. Time will tell.

    At the same time, exactly as experts have been predicting, the daily death toll in India continues to rise. Their internal estimates indicate that it may go as high as a daily average of +17,000 (deaths) before this thing burns out in India. Horrifying, just horrifying.

    Evidence is mounting that the double-mutant thought to have originated in India is now in other lands in a big way. For at least 8 consecutive days, in neighboring Nepal, there have been at least +8,000 cases per day. I wrote a posting about Nepal a number of days ago, right here on this thread.

    And now, a (not so small) island in the Indian ocean due east of Madascar and SW from Mauritius, Reunion (a French protectorate) has recorded, for the first time ever, over +1,000 daily cases. Reunion has a population of less than 900,000 people. Should it be the case that the double mutant has worked it's way into Africa, then I would say that the world has a massive, far larger than ever before imagined problem on it's hands, because Africa is, in relation to other continents, barely testing for Covid-19 and does not have the same level of resources as the rich 1st-world nations do.

    At the same time, the USA is very clearly on the mend and I predict that by sometime in June, the USA will be well under an average of +20,000 cases per day, and that won't be for a lack of testing. Also, the USA is now up to getting the genomic sequencing done for at least 10% of daily confirmed cases, which is a very, very good thing. The erstwhile epicenter of the Pandemic is becoming a bright spot in all of this.

    There are also strong signs that the Spring wave is abating in Europe, also in Turkey, which leaves us with the massive problem zone of India (and Pakistan, which is obviously lying about the level of sickness in it's land), most likely SE Asia, China, and if the double mutant is really in Reunion, quite possibly, Africa and the Middle East.

    And as perverse as it sounds, things are going every bit as badly in Brazil now as in the last months, but the horror of India (and it's numbers which simply dwarf everything else) makes Brazil look and feel as if it is on the mend. It is not. I'm very close to predicting that Brazil's economy will go completely belly-up over this and that there will be civil-war/revolution in the that country by the end of 2023 at the latest.

    As I wrote from day one of this thread 15 months ago, this is a worldwide thing and nationalism cannot play a role. We are all homo-sapiens and COVID-19 finds every single one of us to be very tasty.

    We may be tired of and wanting to be done with COVID-19, but COVID-19 is not done with us. And the reason for this is eminently clear: the world, as an entity, has utterly failed to deprive the virus of a means of replicating itself in human hosts. It's really that simple. Had India stayed on strict lockdown, maybe, just maybe the double-mutant would never have appeared, for instance.

    And again, perhaps we should look to Oceana (Australia, New Zealand) to see what they have been doing to keep the virus from spreading.

    I would love to someone to try and do the math as to how long it will take to make and administer at least 10 BILLION doses of vaccines, and on top of that, 10 BILLION (I assume) necessary booster shots. Because, assuming for waste, fraud, mistakes, travel and storage costs, country to country paperwork (bureaucracy) protocols and the like, that is what it is going to take to free the world of this virus. And if we don't keep kicking Covid-19 in the balls in 2022 and 2023, then by 2024, I suspect that we will be right back where we are now, in the middle of endless misery. And not to mention eternally ruined economies and very likely, wars.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2021
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  22. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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    Yep, agree totally. COVID hasn’t finished with us yet.
    As it rages out of control in some areas, the mutations keep coming.
     
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  23. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Yepp. Essentially, it's a game of "Virus-Whack-a-Mole" right now.
     
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  24. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    REFERENCE LINK (new standing disclaimer, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) - please read at least once and use as needed

    Concise COVID-19 analysis: Wednesday, 2021-05-012
    (UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

    THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 41 NATIONS
    Currently, the figures for worldwide composite figures and 5 of the 41 tracked nations are published here as screenshots on a daily basis:

    WORLDWIDE:
    Ώ֍֍֍֍֍֍* 161,077,130 *֍֍֍֍֍֍Ώ
    +757,147 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 751,502 = 521.9 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +13,900 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 12,826 = 8.9 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
    INDIA IS NOW AVERAGING +376,000 C19 CASES AND +4,029 DEATHS PER DAY
    INDIA IS THE ONLY NATION ON EARTH TO HAVE REACHED A DAILY AVERAGE OF +4,000 DEATHS
    NOT YET IN MY TRACKING: NEPAL - CIRCA +8,000 OR MORE +CASES FOR THE 9th CONSECUTIVE DAY
    USA: THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS ON IT'S WAY DOWNWARD TO +35,000

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2021-05-012 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2021-05-012 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 001 - total cases.png

    The first screenshot of the Worldwide figures (above) represents all 41 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
    For additional screenshots of the worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)



    USA:
    ֍֍֍*** 33,586,136 ***֍֍֍
    +36,021 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 37,842 = 26.2 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +839 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 662 = 0.5 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN DEATHS STAYED BELOW +1,000 FOR THE 30th DAY IN A ROW
    THE 7-DAY ROLLING AVERAGE IN +CASES IS ON IT'S WAY DOWNWARD TO +35,000



    2021-05-012 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2021-05-012 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2021-05-012 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ֍֍*** 23,702,832 ***֍֍
    INDIA WILL LIKELY EXCEED 24 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2021-05-013
    INDIA EXCEEDED +300,000 DAILY CASES FOR THE 22nd DAY IN A ROW

    +362,406 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 375,997 = 261.1 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +4,126 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 4,029 = 2.8 death every minute, tendency: steady

    INDIA HAD OVER +3,000 DAILY DEATHS FOR THE 16th DAY IN A ROW, OVER +4,000 FOR THE 4th TIME
    INDIA IS THE ONLY NATION ON EARTH TO HAVE REACHED A DAILY AVERAGE OF +4,000 DEATHS

    When the USA broke over 30 million total confirmed Covid-19 cases on Saturday, 2021-03-013, India was 18.7 million cases behind the USA on that day. Now, as of 2021-05-012, it is now 9.8 million behind the USA, so over two months, from 2021-03-013 to 2021-05-012, India roughly halved the distance in cases to the USA. Not long from now, India, if it continues at this pace, will easily pull ahead of the USA and become the No. 1 nation in the worldwide Covid-19 case rankings.

    2021-05-012 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ֍***** 15,361,686 *****֍

    +76,638 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 60,746 = 42.2 new cases every minute, tendency: steady
    +2,545 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 1,944 = 1.4 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-012 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png


    FRANCE:
    ***** 5,821,668 *****
    +21,498 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 16,470 = 11.4 new cases every minute, tendency: slightly falling
    +184 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 213 = 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: slightly falling


    2021-05-012 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png



    TURKEY:
    ***** 5,072,462 *****
    +13,029 daily cases // rolling 7-day avg = 16,695 = 11.6 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
    +232 daily deaths // rolling 7-day avg = 277 = 0.2 deaths every minute, tendency: steady


    2021-05-012 COVID-19 TURKEY 000.png
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2021
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  25. a better world

    a better world Well-Known Member

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    For the German readers:

    As I mentioned a month ago, the possibility of an EU covid-debt collapse:

    Hilfspakete, Kredite, Kurzarbeit: Was die EU in der Corona-Krise macht | tagesschau.de

    Was die EU in der Corona-Krise macht
    Stand: 23.04.2020 04:07 Uhr

    Es sind gigantische Summen, mit denen die EU die europäische Wirtschaft in der Corona-Krise retten will. Woher kommt das Geld? Reichen die 500 Milliarden? Droht ein Zerfall der EU?.....

    Die Rede ist von mindestens weiteren 1000 Milliarden Euro, wahrscheinlich ist noch deutlich mehr notwendig.Wie will die EU diese gewaltige Aufgabe finanzieren?

    In der Krise wurde immer wieder über Corona-Bonds diskutiert. Warum beharrt vor allem Italien darauf?
    Das Land ist von Corona besonders hart getroffen und hatte schon vor der Krise erhebliche ökonomische Schwierigkeiten. Vor allem schleppt Italien einen massiven Schuldenberg von gut 130 Prozent der eigenen Wirtschaftskraft mit sich.

    ........

    As professor Bill Mitchell predicted, the Italians won't tolerate German-enforced austerity; the silly thing about it all is the ECB can create as many debt-free Euros as necessary to ensure all EU members states can implement above- poverty full employment.

    Maybe an impending implosion of the EU will wake-up the flat-earth economists in charge of the ECB.


     
    Last edited: May 13, 2021

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