Trump at 50% approval, 48% disapproving.

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by pol meister, Jul 31, 2020.

  1. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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  2. Arkanis

    Arkanis Well-Known Member

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  3. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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  4. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    How did rasmussen do in 2018?
     
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  5. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    There was no presidential election in 2018.
     
  6. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    There was a midterm election and the various polling agencies attempted to predict the vote totals for the house by measuring the generic ballot.

    How did Rasmussen do with their final generic ballot in 2018?
     
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  7. Kev12345

    Kev12345 Banned

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    I really love how trump supporters believe polls when they see something they like but whenever they dont they always proclaim 2016.........
     
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  8. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    Well, that's all very interesting, but this thread is about the presidential election, and Rasmussen has a very good long-term record on presidential elections, other than 2012, when he was behind the curve on the cell-phone boom vs. landline.
     
  9. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    Dems don't have that problem because their polls always show the Dems way ahead, even when they're not.

    It's just the final results that sometimes make them cry.
     
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  10. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    So...of the last two presidential elections, rasmussen is batting a 50/50.

    And of the last two elections, including the 2018 midterms, they are batting a 50/50.
     
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  11. Kev12345

    Kev12345 Banned

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    In a lot of ways they were right in 2016. Polls give averages with plus/minus I believe 3%. They had Hillary leading which she did beat out trump by 3 million votes but lost due to the electoral vote.
    Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania by 70k votes.
    Yes polls can be wrong but generally they are close if they are not from a biased source because it is easy to sway a poll into what you want by and large tho they are still a guess based on averages and every politician swears to them because they give indicators on how you should be running. It is also why they guard their internal polling so much which is much more in depth than what you see on fox/CNN/MSNBC.
     
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  12. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    The stench of Trumpery is real and has befouled Republican politicians across the nation, Meticulously cherry-picking an aberrant poll is futile. Neither will Trump's downward trajectory be altered by his repeat endorsements by neo-nazis and other white supremacists.

    [​IMG]
    "This is the kind of WHITE NATIONALISM we elected him for"
    Neo-nazi Andrew Anglin

    https://www.voanews.com/usa/many-white-nationalists-praise-controversial-trump-tweets#:~:text=Andrew Anglin,


    Neither his pandering to racists nor his gross incompetence in confronting the pandemic and then lying about it are winning strategies.
    Screen Shot 2020-07-28 at 3.57.54 PM.png
     
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  13. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    November 5, 2018

    Screen Shot 2020-02-24 at 8.15.43 AM.png

    The final Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot before Election Day shows Republicans edging ahead by one point, but in essence, the two parties are tied.
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pu...of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_nov05

    November 21, 2018

    Screen Shot 2020-08-02 at 8.11.08 AM.png

    Democrats won House popular vote by largest midterm margin since Watergate
    Nationally, Democrats have 53.1 percent of all votes counted while Republicans took 45.2 percent.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/democrats-won-house-popular-vote-largest-midterm-margin-watergate-n938996

    Going into election day, 2016, A collaboration poll between Investor's Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence had Trump leading by two points.
    Rasmussen had Clinton ahead by two points.
     
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2020
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  14. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    RCP was actually very close in 2016:
    I would argue accurate even when looking at MOE and the fact that it is a national poll and not one based on state polls:
    upload_2020-8-2_10-16-44.jpeg


    Here is the current:
    upload_2020-8-2_10-20-57.jpeg


    Notice a difference?
     
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  15. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    50%? So he is actually at 90% approval.
     
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  16. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    I suppose grammar levels of mathematics was not part of your "genius level testing."
     
  17. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    No it wasn't but university level calculus was and I know how to factor in fraudulent numbers to get the desired results.
     
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  18. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    I know you can and that is the only way that you can get to "90% approval."

    I just do not understand why you feel so desperate to engage in such a technique nor do I understand why you think engaging in such a technique is even remotely close to convincing.
     
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2020
  19. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    He couldn’t even win the vote of the people against HRC before everyone knew how big a piece of **** he was — 2020 is going to be fun if you believe he is going to get 90% of anything.
     
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  20. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    I was thinking Rasmussen would have Trump back down to about 46 or 47 percent today, but instead, they show him increasing his lead up to a 51% approval rating, with 47% disapproving. It's his highest mark since February of this year.

    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove.

    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_aug03

    I don't think it's so much what Trump is doing, but what Democrats are doing that's driving Trump's poll numbers higher. What say you?
     
    Last edited: Aug 3, 2020
  21. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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  22. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    Liberals are sick of anything that isn't liberal, and there's nothing normal about Joe, other than his senility, which often affects people of his age. He's become nothing more than a puppet of the far-left radicals.
     
  23. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    538 does not poll.
     
  24. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    Does that excuse them from giving Hillary a 71.4% chance of winning in 2016, and winning 302 electoral college votes, versus the 227 she actually did win?
     
  25. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    The are a statistics site. They can only use the data they provided.

    Obviously 70% is not 100%
     

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