Nathan-D's Recent Activity

  1. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Below is a graph from Trenberth and the IPCC showing the 333 W/m2 of radiation absorbed by the surface from all greenhouse gases combined (take it as fiction or fact): [IMG]

    May 5, 2024 at 4:04 AM
  2. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Agreed. That warming might be even less than 0.006C That warming from the Stefan-Boltzmann law is probably an overestimation too. The idea that a given radiative imbalance...

    May 5, 2024 at 3:13 AM
  3. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    That BBC article presents apparent evidence of AGW by directing the viewer to their other article which states: If scientists have actually measured the TOA outgoing radiation...

    May 4, 2024 at 10:34 AM
  4. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    You're funny, but I doubt you're serious when it comes to debating AGW.

    May 3, 2024 at 10:33 PM
  5. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Okay. I'm pretty sure you're trolling me now.

    May 3, 2024 at 9:54 PM
  6. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    You mean this "consensus"? [MEDIA]

    May 3, 2024 at 9:39 PM
  7. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Changes. There's been a large decline in phytoplankton over the last 50 years. Dinoflagellates have decreased by 5% per decade since the 1960s while the quantities of...

    May 3, 2024 at 9:29 PM
  8. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    No-one knows for sure what caused the change in cloud-cover to the best of my knowledge. Some scientists, such as Henrik Svensmark, have argued (convincingly) that clouds could...

    May 3, 2024 at 8:38 PM
  9. Nathan-D attached a file to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Regardless, his calculations still imply that human CO2-emissions still cannot be responsible for all of it. The IPCC tell us that 100% of the increase in atmospheric CO2 is...

    upload_2024-5-4_1-35-32.png May 3, 2024 at 8:36 PM
  10. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Why?

    May 3, 2024 at 8:09 PM
  11. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Even if what you say is true, recent temperature changes can be explained by the decrease in cloud-cover. [IMG]

    May 3, 2024 at 7:49 PM
  12. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    But I quoted a paper that calculates a considerable amount of the CO2 increase to CO2 outgassing from the oceans. Is he wrong? Maybe? You are just making things up.

    May 3, 2024 at 7:33 PM
  13. Nathan-D replied to the thread Could recent global warming be explained by changes in solar variation?.

    I think so yep. The IPCC even say that water vapour is "not a forcing" but a "feedback" to changes in temperature. Take that as you will.

    May 3, 2024 at 7:30 PM
  14. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Jaworowski et al (1997) provides one possible theory (which may or may not be correct, I have not done his calculations): Here:...

    May 3, 2024 at 7:20 PM
  15. Nathan-D replied to the thread Could recent global warming be explained by changes in solar variation?.

    Probably because atmospheric water vapour concentration is related to temperature and temperature (we are led to believe) has risen over the last 50 years. Warmer air can hold...

    May 3, 2024 at 5:04 PM
  16. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    From what I gather estimations for ancient sunspot activity is inferred through radiocarbon dating, beryllium-10 dating, and cosmogenic isotope records. Wikipedia explains...

    May 3, 2024 at 3:56 PM
  17. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    I think that is what the CAGW-crowd is doing. They rely on the sunspot number for their TSI reconstructions and TSI reconstructions relying predominantly on sunspot records...

    May 3, 2024 at 2:43 PM
  18. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Yes. Below is a graph you may (or may not) find interesting Mitty. I think it might just give you some insight into some of the reasons for us CAGW-skeptics being unable to...

    May 3, 2024 at 2:48 AM
  19. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    I was just posting what Humlum et al (2013) found. I suppose a portion of the increase in atmospheric CO2 might be explained by a decrease in the soulbility of CO2 in the...

    May 3, 2024 at 12:48 AM
  20. Nathan-D liked Jack Hays's post in the thread Could recent global warming be explained by changes in solar variation?.

    There has been a thread about this for the better part of two years. The Sun-Climate Effect

    May 3, 2024 at 12:37 AM
  21. Nathan-D replied to the thread Could recent global warming be explained by changes in solar variation?.

    Another one compared to temperature: https://joannenova.com.au/2016/02/new-science-22-solar-tsi-leads-earths-temperature-with-an-11-year-delay/ [IMG]

    May 2, 2024 at 9:44 AM
  22. Nathan-D posted a new thread.

    Could recent global warming be explained by changes in solar variation?

    From Willie Soon et al (2023). TSI compared to temperature: [IMG] A collection of TSI studies below compared to the TSI estimates from the IPCC: [IMG] The graph below is...

    Forum: Science

    May 2, 2024 at 7:58 AM
  23. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Yeah, I'd say that Lindzen is closer to the real number. Satellites and radiosondes would also support the low CS from Lindzen.

    May 1, 2024 at 10:50 PM
  24. Nathan-D liked bringiton's post in the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Eventually, superhuman artificial intelligence (SAI) will figure this out. I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that Lindzen, Choi and Specht will turn out to be closest...

    May 1, 2024 at 10:44 PM
  25. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Here is a graph showing instrumental ECS estimates going back even further: [IMG]

    May 1, 2024 at 8:03 PM
  26. Nathan-D liked bringiton's post in the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    The meaning of "current" and "recent" seem to depend on what argument is being made. Wrong. The stratospheric water vapor pulse created by the Tonga volcano two years ago,...

    May 1, 2024 at 7:08 PM
  27. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    They assume that water vapour feedback (the main feedback) increases radiative forcing from 3.7 W/m2 to 16.5 W/m2 for an ECS of about 3C. However, many studies show a much...

    May 1, 2024 at 7:07 PM
  28. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    I gave the answer. 0.12°C. You appear to have got your green knickers in a twist over this.

    May 1, 2024 at 1:03 AM
  29. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    In AR5 2013, the IPCC give an estimate of 5 PGs of released CH4 from permafrost by 2100 (source: IPCC AR5: Biogeochemical Cycles, page 530 to 531). PGs is equivalent to...

    May 1, 2024 at 12:17 AM
  30. Nathan-D liked Mushroom's post in the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Hell, they call me a "denier", and my predictions go far beyond anything they even dare to posit as a potential outcome. Yet, somehow I am still a "denier", even though I am...

    Apr 30, 2024 at 11:25 PM
  31. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    What are we denying? We accept that CO2 causes warming, most also accept that recent increases in atmospheric CO2 are due to humans burning hydrocarbons, and most think...

    Apr 30, 2024 at 8:14 PM
  32. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    “Denier” (and similar epithets) is a term of abuse which you are applying inappropriately to honest-minded skeptics.

    Apr 30, 2024 at 8:04 PM
  33. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    I don’t see the comparison. CAGW-skeptics are the majority not the minority (like Galileo). Unfortunately the power in our world lies with the 1% -- the global elite who...

    Apr 30, 2024 at 7:36 PM
  34. Nathan-D liked Scott's post in the thread mRNA Vaccines, Proven toxic, shuts down your immune system.

    Check out these graphs. Seeing Is Believing: What the Data Reveal About Deaths Following COVID Vaccine Rollouts Around the World...

    Apr 30, 2024 at 6:01 PM
  35. Nathan-D liked Scott's post in the thread mRNA Vaccines, Proven toxic, shuts down your immune system.

    Hey Natty Bumpo... This is what Betamax said bout the graphs I linked to in post #214. Do you agree with him?

    Apr 30, 2024 at 6:01 PM
  36. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Disappointedly we CAGW-skeptics have been ignored by Big Government. I think that only shows where the true power lies and that Big Government does not listen to the will of...

    Apr 30, 2024 at 5:54 PM
  37. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    I agree that there seems to be a consensus on CAGW when it comes to governments, countries, and institutions. But many of these institutions are formally constituted as...

    Apr 30, 2024 at 5:00 PM
  38. Nathan-D liked Jack Hays's post in the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    Increased solar radiation is what has driven warming. Post-1980s Increases In Shortwave Radiation Explains Europe’s Warming Trends Far Better Than CO2 By Kenneth Richard on 29....

    Apr 30, 2024 at 11:46 AM
  39. Nathan-D replied to the thread Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more.

    However you feel about NoTricksZone, it doesn't change the conclusions of the scientific paper.

    Apr 30, 2024 at 12:53 AM
  40. Nathan-D replied to the thread How many Lies do ProVaxers need to hear before they admit the Vax is a hoax?.

    [IMG]

    Apr 29, 2024 at 8:55 PM