Romney Takes Lead in Ohio as Obama Campaign Panics

Rasmussen was the #1 most accurate poll for the 2008 election.

Some polling companies care about accuracy, some have an agenda.

 

It has been a fundamental rule of Florida politics for decades: Statewide campaigns are won and lost on the I-4 corridor.

Today that celebrated swing-voter swath stretching from Tampa Bay to Daytona Beach is poised to deliver Florida's 29 electoral votes to Mitt Romney.

An exclusive Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9 poll of likely voters along the Interstate 4 corridor finds Romney leading Obama 51 percent to 45 percent, with 4 percent undecided.

"Romney has pretty much nailed down Florida," said Brad Coker of Mason-
www.tampabay.com/news/politics/national/...poll...4.../1258459

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Romney and 48% say the same of Obama.

www.rasmussenreports.com/.../daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Here is the collective polling and Romney is ahead...

Poll Date Sample MoE Romney (R) Obama (D) Spread
RCP Average 10/22 - 10/29 -- -- 47.9 47.1 Romney +0.8
CBS News/NY Times 10/25 - 10/28 563 LV 4.0 47 48 Obama +1
NPR 10/23 - 10/25 1000 LV 3.1 48 47 Romney +1
Rasmussen Reports 10/27 - 10/29 1500 LV 3.0 49 47 Romney +2
ABC News/Wash Post 10/26 - 10/29 1271 LV 3.5 49 48 Romney +1
Pew Research 10/24 - 10/28 1495 LV 2.9 47 47 Tie
Gallup 10/22 - 10/28 2700 LV 2.0 51 46 Romney +5
IBD/TIPP 10/22 - 10/27 930 LV 3.5 44 45 Obama +1
Politico/GWU/Battleground 10/22 - 10/25 1000 LV 3.1 48 49 Obama +1
www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

 

Oh My: Romney Leads 52/46 Among Early Voters Nationally?
posted at 10:55 pm on October 29, 2012 by Guy BensonThis data point was flagged by Breitbart’s John Nolte, who was initially thrown off by the mundane, nothing-to-see-here headline, “In US, 15% of Registered Voters Have Already Cast Ballots.” But then there’s this, fresh from Gallup:


Am I missing something, or is this a rather significant development? Isn’t early voting supposed to be Democrats’ secret weapon, with which they run up the score, then dare the GOP to catch up on Election Day? And unlike the snapshot national polls that we obsess over each day (many of which are based upon samples of 800-1,200 respondents), this survey has a massive sample size of 3,312 registered voters. Of those who say they’ve already voted nationwide, the D/R/I is 33/37/29, or R+4. Glance over that chart one more time. If those stats are even close to representative of the 2012 electorate, Obama is going to lose. Right? Or have I managed to blind myself to a glaring caveat or two?

hotair.com/.../oh-my-romney-leads-5246-among-early-voters-nation

 

Thanks Jollee! I love seeing that this early. This is fricking awesome

 

I know Changed, whoa!

 

This is a bigger lie than Mitts Chrysler lie. Really, the desperation is evident.

 

Haven't heard much around here lately from the 3rd-party protest voters. Perhaps this is why. Some were hoping they could garner enough support to skew the election - take enough away from Romney to give the election to Obama. Looks like they have failed to gain any interest.

Wondering if early voting will be more significant because of Sandy. Will there be less of the later voting in the storm hit areas, thus rendering the early voting more significant than usual? I dunno.

 

Why work when they can live off of hard working Americans for free, while helping America go bankrupt because they aren't paying taxes. Instead they want us to pay MORE taxes to help pay for them.

 

Obama's lead in Ohio in the RCP average is now up to 2.4....
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html

Still taking the Electoral College on RCP, inTrade, 538 and everywhere else....

Does that mean Obama will win? No. But I'd rather be in Obama's shoes than Romney's at this point.

 

You know what I meant by that! It is THEIR checks, it is THEIR money. They have paid into SSI, Medicare, and disability all of their lives 'while' working. They deserve their checks. But more than half of these people who are receiving checks are taking money out of Medicare that belongs to Seniors, and workers who have worked hard all of their lives. These people who are getting money are taking away from them. Why won't you people think about that instead of just thinking about "Oh my God, they are going to cut Medicare" No kidding, it is because everyone has their greedy little hands in there grabbing it all up!!!!!

 

Why, Obama is depending mostly on early voting. That is HIS thing. EARLY voting. I believe he is done.

 

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

Sixteen percent (16%) of white Democrats now support Romney.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

NOTE: Rasmussen Reports is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey and we were hit hard by Hurricane Sandy. However, our survey interview calls are placed from a different location, so data gathering was able to continue. Today, however, we will release only a limited amount of data. We hope to resume a more complete schedule tomorrow. The Rasmussen Challenge is also on hold until next week due to the weather.

New surveying Monday night finds Romney ahead of the president 50% to 47% in the key swing state of Colorado. That marks little change from a week ago, and the state remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

In Wisconsin, surveying from Monday night finds the race remains tied at 49%, just like last week. Wisconsin, too, is still a Toss-Up and is critical to Romney’s fortunes if he loses Ohio.

www.rasmussenreports.com/.../daily_swing_state_tracking_poll

 

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

Sixteen percent (16%) of white Democrats now support Romney.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

NOTE: Rasmussen Reports is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey and we were hit hard by Hurricane Sandy. However, our survey interview calls are placed from a different location, so data gathering was able to continue. Today, however, we will release only a limited amount of data. We hope to resume a more complete schedule tomorrow. The Rasmussen Challenge is also on hold until next week due to the weather.

New surveying Monday night finds Romney ahead of the president 50% to 47% in the key swing state of Colorado. That marks little change from a week ago, and the state remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

In Wisconsin, surveying from Monday night finds the race remains tied at 49%, just like last week. Wisconsin, too, is still a Toss-Up and is critical to Romney’s fortunes if he loses Ohio. http://www.politicalforum.com/curre...ports.com/.../daily_swing_state_tracking_poll

 

[video=youtube;Y1iHkY4dWh0]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y1iHkY4dWh0[/video]

 

I cite the average in Ohio. You cite a single pollster with a known GOP lean. Awesome.

Romney is ahead in the popular vote at the moment. But the margin is small: 0.8%.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

And that lead exists solely because of Rasmussen and the Gallup +5 outlier. Remove those, and you have six polls showing either a tie, or Obama +1, or Romney +1. The average of those 6 polls would be a very small Obama lead.

In other words, about as close to a tie as you can get.

 

Wow wonders never cease!

 

I get it. Ignore the 2 proven most accurate polls and b.o. has a slight lead. Reality is going to bite liberals in their biased asses.

 

I've said repeatedly that focusing on single polls is stupid, regardless of how "accurate" you think they are.

I've also said repeatedly that outliers should be taken with a grain of salt.

Note that I *accept* the average because I don't cherry-pick polls. I was just pointing out that the only reason the average shows a Romney lead is because of a poll with a known GOP lean and a poll that is the clear outlier from everyone else. That should suggest that Romney's lead is fragile.

 

How many more times do I need to prove this assertion wrong?

I probably might as well not.....have a nice day.

 

Christian voters also flock to Romney as Obama attacks Christian values.
Even though some doubted this would happen, it is now.

The Pew Research Center for the People and the Press reports that 74 percent of registered evangelicals will vote for Romney. Among likely evangelical voters who have made up their mind on the presidential candidates, 80 percent will vote Republican.

 

You really need to stop lying and spinning. The National Journal poll has Obama up 5 as a counter balance to Gallup. National Journal is so skewed that they are derided in every corner of the world.
The fun part is that even the NPR poll has Romney ahead. That was startling, considering that he wants to cut their funding.

 

here ya go

In 2008 in Ohio Obama beat McCain 51.2 / 47.2. Any opinions on why Ohio would not have as much of a pro Romney swing as the deeply blue states I listed above......

 

You mean other than the fact that one poll doesn't swing the average of numerous state polls? Romney has never led in Ohio, and never is going to lead in Ohio. This is after 4 weeks of voting that has already occurred in the state.

Romney is done. I hope conservatives can brace themselves for the defeat.

 

yeah sure all you need is your wayback machine to take you back to 2008 and Obama is a shoe in. I guess you think Ohio is something special, deep blue states swinging toward the red by double digits and you think Ohio which he won in 2008 by 4 points is going to repeat 2008. Enjoy the kool aid , next Wednesday Michelle is going to be calling the moving companies and barry will be polishing his resume.

 

Aren't Obama's shoes stained with the blood of the Benghazi Four?
Obama's Benghazi Massacre is not going away.

The president denied, denied, denied. The Benghazi Four died. Then Obama and his minions lied, and lied and lied.