Romney Takes Lead in Ohio as Obama Campaign Panics

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by sammy, Oct 29, 2012.

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  1. Captain America

    Captain America New Member

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    Well, my state is a battleground state too. Let's see what is going on here.

    President Barack Obama has significantly expanded his lead in Wisconsin, and U.S. Senate candidate Tammy Baldwin has overtaken challenger Tommy Thompson, as the campaigns enter their final days, according to the Marquette University Law School Poll released Wednesday.

    The survey shows Obama up over his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, 51 percent to 43 percent, a large shift in a race that just two weeks ago was seen as a dead heat.

    Democratic congresswoman Baldwin leads 47 to 43 over former Republican Gov. Thompson. <snip>


    Read more: http://host.madison.com/news/local/...386-11e2-8aca-001a4bcf887a.html#ixzz2AvcobJTe

    I'm so glad this election is almost here. This is better than Superbowl Sunday.
     
  2. sammy

    sammy Well-Known Member

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    Internal Obama Camp Polling has Romney up in Ohio now.

    Sixteen percent (16%) of white Democrats now support Romney.

    The American surge continues as Romney crusades to victory.
     
  3. theunbubba

    theunbubba Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Another biased poll. :

    This after you elected a Republican Governor who defeated a recall and a Republican majority in your State Assembly and Senate.

    Not to mention that the poll was taken BEFORE the last Senatorial debate.

    You really need to look deeper into the articles you cite.
     
  4. Dan40

    Dan40 New Member

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    WHO took over as Gov. in Wisconsin after the Democrats "recalled" Walker?

    WI will go Romney. Madison is stupid, but the rest of WI has good sense.

    That recall must have been terribly shocking and embarrassing for you. Nov 7 is gonna hurt BAD!
     
  5. sammy

    sammy Well-Known Member

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    Karl Rove and Dick Morris both predict Romney wins Ohio.

    These two dudes are rarely if ever wrong about their polling data.
     
  6. BringDownMugabe

    BringDownMugabe Well-Known Member

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    Nate Silver has Obama winning Ohio at 73%. His predictions are better.
     
  7. Dan40

    Dan40 New Member

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    The Teflon coating broke and fell off b.o. in the first debate. All the Kings horses** and all the Kings men couldn't put it together again.

    ** and bayonets.
     
  8. sammy

    sammy Well-Known Member

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    Rasmussen has Obama winning the early vote by 10 points but still losing 50-48% to Romney in Florida. It's not lag time, either. Rasmussen's poll was taken last Friday. The actual early vote count showing Democrats only up 2% was released yesterday. So it looks like a bigger point spread in Romney's favor.

    This has the Obama campaign folk swearing at each other.
    It ain't just Ohio that Obama is now losing.
     
  9. Libertine

    Libertine Active Member

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    54 percent tell Gallup they expect Obama to win, compared to 34 percent for Romney.

    and from yesterday on slate.com
    [​IMG]
     
  10. raytri

    raytri Well-Known Member

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    Um... the post you responded to was made *before* the National Journal poll hit RCP.

    With that poll, Romney's lead in the average is down to 0.2%.
     
  11. Captain America

    Captain America New Member

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    Obama's recent surge in Wisconsin is being reported on all the Milwaukee news channels today sir. And I would hardly call a Marquette University poll anything but valid.

    I'm sure you would have more respect for their poll if it favored your candidate. If I were you, I would just stick with Rassmussen. They will make you feel real good. Warm. Fuzzy.
     
  12. Captain America

    Captain America New Member

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  13. theunbubba

    theunbubba Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  14. theunbubba

    theunbubba Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I cited why it was a biased poll. You continue to ignore recent developments and keep the blinders on. I don't care when the ******* press reports it's agreed to talking points. They are irrelevant.
     
  15. Captain America

    Captain America New Member

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    Hey man, Flea's a pretty accomplished bassist. I'll take that as a compliment.

    What poll? What the hell are you talking about?

    First, RCP is a CONSERVATIVE site. Second, the RCP average is NOT a poll. It's an AVERAGE of the mainstream major polls INCLUDING Rassmussen.

    Geeze.... no wonder this country is in the shape it's in. They just let anybody vote.

    Oh well. It's America. Gotta love it.
     
  16. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I would call a Marquette University Law School poll comic relief.
     
  17. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    RCP is NOT a conservative site. Marquette Law School MOST DEFINTIELY is a Leftninny site.
     
  18. BringDownMugabe

    BringDownMugabe Well-Known Member

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    "Leftninny site?" And I'm supposed to take this post seriously?
     
  19. Captain America

    Captain America New Member

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    Dude! Seriously?!?! Get a clue.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/?state=nwa

    But don't get your panties in such a bundle. You know as well as I do those same RCP poll averages might show Romney in the lead tomorrow. The pendulum is in constant motion. It has topped out on the Romney side and now heading back towards Obama. The question is, will that pendulum get enough momentum in the next four days to close the deal for Obama?

    Stay tuned!
     
  20. Dan40

    Dan40 New Member

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    Liberalese:

    If a poll shows b.o. ahead, its a good poll. If a poll shows Romney ahead, no matter how old and respected the pollster is, its a radical right wing site.

    10/30

    Fox tie known radical righty.

    Rasmussen Romney +2 also right radical

    ABC tie brand new radical right wing site

    CBS b.o. +1 good respected truthful poll

    National mjournal b.o. +5 also a good respectred pollster.

    Pew tie lousy right wing nuts

    Gallup Romney +5 radical right winger.

    NPR Romney +1 Former liberal, now radical right wing nutjobs.

    IBD/TIPP b.o. +1 good old respected pollster.

    Politico b.o. + 1 good old respected pollster.

    RCP AVERAGE of all major pollsters , tie, an obvious radical right wing nut job site.

    The battleground states where b.o. does lead, he is within the margin of error.

    Ties are BAD NEWS for the incumbent. Leads within the margin of error are BAD NEWS for the incumbent.
     
  21. gmb92

    gmb92 New Member

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    Here is Rasmussen's recent record in OH:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_mccain_vs_obama-400.html#polls

    Here are the very similar polls today:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html

    Here is Rasmussen's record in 2010:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html

    Only Gallup and Fox News were worse.

    There appears to be a systematic bias in these organizations (for Gallup, that bias is more recent).
     
  22. Captain America

    Captain America New Member

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    Any poll one does not agree with is biased.

    It don't matter which one it is.
     
  23. Jollee

    Jollee New Member

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    Monday, October 29, 2012

    The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.

    Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.

    In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

    Romney has now led for 12 straight days with margins of four to six points most of that time.

    In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.

    www.rasmussenreports.com/.../daily_presidential_tracking_poll

    Release Date
    Obama
    Romney
    NET

    October 29, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 28, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 27, 2012
    45
    51
    Romney +6

    October 26, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 25, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 24, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 23, 2012
    45
    50
    Romney +5

    October 22, 2012
    46
    49
    Romney +3

    October 21, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 20, 2012
    46
    50
    Romney +4

    October 19, 2012
    47
    49
    Romney +2

    October 18, 2012
    48
    49
    Romney +1

    October 17, 2012
    50
    47
    Obama +3

    October 16, 2012
    49
    47
    Obama +2

    October 15, 2012
    48
    48
    Even






     
  24. theunbubba

    theunbubba Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The poll in this post , Brainiac:
    Maybe someday you could at least get enough of an attention span to debate me.

    RCP is in no way shape or form a conservative site of any kind. Neither are you. Stop lying.
     
  25. PropagandaMachine

    PropagandaMachine New Member

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    I'm in Ohio right now and it doesn't seem that way.
     
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