Banning international travel didn't help

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Ronstar, Feb 8, 2022.

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  1. Ronstar

    Ronstar Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    According to the recent study from John Hopkins University, most lockdown measures, including bans on international travel, had a negligible effect on covid mortality rates.

    https://m.jpost.com/health-and-wellness/coronavirus/article-695710?_ga=2.190726504.254442876.1644232588-1229034299.1617710680&utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=IDF+reveals+its+artificial+intelligence+war+data++factory&utm_campaign=February+8%2C+2022+Day

    "A lockdown, as defined by the study, is the “imposition of at least one compulsory, non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI).” This definition includes “any government mandate that directly restricts peoples’ possibilities, such as policies that limit internal movement, close schools and businesses, and ban international travel.”

    Through examining the lockdown policies of the United States and Europe between March 16 and April 15, 2020, and comparing them to later policies which worked solely based on recommendations and not explicitly enforced regulations, the researchers found that the total effect of lockdown in comparison to recommendations was – 6.37 deaths per million people in Europe and – 5.91 deaths per million in the United States. This amounts to around 4,766 averted COVID-19 deaths in Europe and 1,969 in the US.

    However, the study explains, by May 20, 2020, a total of 164,600 people had died with COVID-19 in Europe and a further 97,081 in the United States. Therefore, the number of deaths averted through lockdown measures amounted to 2.8% and 2% of COVID-19 deaths respectively."


    However, one form of lockdown did seem to make a big difference. Closing restaurants and bars reduced mortality by 20% to 50%.

    "Overall, the most successful limitation that was implemented in early 2020 was that of business closures, particularly the closure of bars and restaurants, with a reduction of mortality estimated to be between 28%-50%, depending on the study."


    So it appears that according to Johns Hopkins, we should have never done the bans on international travel, but we were right to close restaurants, bars and other places of indoor social non-essential gathering.
     
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2022

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