My 2012 Electoral Map Projection -- Vote on it!

Where did you get such nonsense? The polls were quite accurate in all of those cases.

If you want to engage in this sort of amusing wishful thinking, I encourage it, as it helps the Democrats. I just worry as to how you'll take it when it doesn't pan out. Sure, you'll probably blame ACORN or some other imaginary bogeyman and leave it at that, but some others might be driven to violence by the nutty tales about how those awful Democrats stole the election that Republicans clearly won, even though the polls said otherwise, being the polls were clearly a liberal conspiracy.

 

Which part of my post is nonsense? Which part is not provably TRUE? My post is factual and accurate, that your opinion differs means NOTHING.

 

Uh, Romney is losing in the majority of swing states.

 

What dreamland do you live in???????? The latest Gallup Poll (which is about the most non-biased poll there is) Have the two in a tie, 46% each.

 

National polls are pretty meaningless. It all comes down to the electoral college.

Romney has to win every swing states to win this election. Obama only has to win 2. If Florida, Ohio, or Virginia go his way, he wins. If he takes Colorado, Neveda, and New Mexico he wins. With Pennsylvania now safely in Obama's hands, Romney's chances just got dimmer.

 

Nope.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Besides, Gallup and Rasmussen are the least trustworthy polls, usually being the Republican outliers. Shift them a couple points to get the accurate picture. They'll tighten up their methods right before the election so they can point to the final number and claim accuracy, but in the run-up season, those two companies get paid to make Republicans look good.

Here's the RCP poll-based EC predictions, which put Obama ahead 231-191, with 116 in the tossup category.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

As people keep pointing out, tossups have to heavily break Romney's way for him to win. It's possible, but the probabilities favor Obama.