Polls find Trump leading Biden in four battleground states

Snopes confirmed the evidence by admitting that it was TRUE. Unless you’re saying that Snopes has no credibility?

By the way, AIDS, Ebola and Zika are in no way even remotely related to COVID-19.

Now explain to us how a “prediction” is fact. Has science been reduced to Nostradamus-style quatrains and crystal ball visions?

 

Vapid STRAWMAN ignored for obvious reasons.

Are you DENYING that they are ALL infections viruses that cause HARM now?

Yet another VACUOUS strawman.

It is an INDISPUTABLE fact that viruses DO cause epidemics and that there will be MORE of them in the FUTURE because that is what viruses DO.

 

Who cares?

 

NOPE!

That was the Southern White Racists who BELONGED to the Democratic Party at that TIME.

Which party do Southern White Racists belong to NOW?[/QUOTE]

 

And when those pollsters call this house they get zero response.

 

C'mon man! It's so much fun to play with them. As they listen breathlessly to me as I espouse the virtues of that dirtbag Joe.

 

Good research. That is a lot better than blind faith in left leaning pollsters that were sooooooooooo wrong in 2016. this is gonna be funner and gooder than 2016.

 

The Cook Report and 538 were wrong in 2016. You were wrong in 2016. It's not surprising to see you use two sources that were wrong to try to prove that the poll was right is wrong. It's like "wrong" is a mantra for some on the left. Do you work at being wrong?



Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016 Does It Again
"Robert Cahaly, senior strategist for the Trafalgar Group, made a name for himself in 2016 by being the only pollster to correctly show Donald Trump with a lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania -- two key states he carried -- heading into Election Day. (He did not poll Wisconsin, another surprising win for Trump.) Cahaly also showed Trump ahead in North Carolina and Florida, both of which he won, securing his improbable 304-227 Electoral College victory over Hillary Clinton.

Cahaly managed to pick up support for Trump that all other pollsters missed by employing a unique method that sought to measure support from voters who'd been “inactive” in recent election cycles, as well as adding a question to his surveys designed to isolate the effect of social desirability bias among Trump voters – the concept that people won’t tell pollsters their true intentions for fear of being stigmatized or being politically incorrect."



"Two years later, Cahaly’s method once again proved solid. In one of the most polled races of the cycle, Trafalgar stood alone as the only polling firm to correctly show a Ron DeSantis gubernatorial victory in Florida – as well as Rick Scott winning the Senate race there. (Both narrow outcomes will likely result in recounts.)

Trafalgar also correctly predicted Senate outcomes in Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia (as of this writing Arizona remains undecided), making it the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races."
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...t_it_right_in_2016_does_it_again_138621.html#!

ChiCow, your link is above this. The other part of this post where I am talking to what's his name doesn't pertain to you.

 

Keep you fingers crossed and pray for the President!

Trafalgar Polling:

 

They are missing the boat bigly

 

Until I read your thread starter post here, I had never thought of that. I find the concept interesting! Hahaha...

 

Wow. Talk about "Trump Bias".

It will be a lot of fun comparing comparing Trafalgar's Fantasies with the Final Numbers.

 

They jived bigly last time, unlike your prediction.

 

It's gonna be fun.

 

That is unless the scientist is a left wing conspirator.

 

I love how you managed to avoid answering everything that I asked you and pointed out to you. Taking lessons from Hillary Clinton, are you?

 

NEXT time try NOT to use such vapid STRAWMAN drivel in your posts.

 

Yes, it will. Trafalgar takes into account the "silent Trump voter", or what Trump calls his silent majority.

 

AKA nobody!

 

@Derideo_Te She's the expert in that

 

That's fine, but ......

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-slight-polling-edge-trump-key-battlegrounds-election-eve

 

I think this post says more about you than anything else.

Why do you lie and laugh like crazy...? Maybe a new hobby is in order?

That aside, Trafalgar was right by the thinnest of margins in 2016. One thing he's ignoring this time around is that Trump is no longer the challenger. Undecides typically break for the challenger. In 2016, Trump was challenging an 8 year democratic presidential past. This year, Biden is challenging Trump. 80% of the time undecided voters go for the challenger. If you apply that to Trafalgar polls, which he refuses to do even though he says that's a big part of why Trump won in 2016, you see that Trump still loses.

Also, Trafalgar has often over stated Trump support as he did in 2016 and even was off in 2018 polls. So again, there's nothing magical about their polls versus others.

If your motive is to look for comfort ahead of election day, go nuts. You aren't the only one on either side of the ticket doing that for sure. If you are looking for an objective discussion on what polls may mean, your post isn't what that looks like.

 

Yes, but Fox is separate from Trafalgar. The thread is about Trafalgar. Everyone is aware that all other pollsters show Biden winning, except Trafalgar and Rasmussen.

 

The silent majority is a myth. It didn't even exist in 2016, when Hillary, most likely one of the least liked candidates ever, won the popular vote.

My experience: The more fervently people support Trump, the louder and the more "in your face" they are. Those are the ones that go to the rallies and fly the huge Trump flags. There is nothing silent about them, and they are also not a majority.