Florida is Looking Good for Clinton

FLORIDA SHOCK: TRUMP OUTPERFORMS ROMNEY BY 130,000 IN EARLY VOTING!
Mon Nov 07 2016 12:03:12 ET
**World Exclusive**

Data obtained by the DRUDGE REPORT shows presidential underdog Donald Trump outperforming Republican 2012 election results in Florida.

Mitt Romney went into Election Day down 161,000 in absentee ballots and early voting. He ended up losing the state by 74,000.

This time, in a dramatic surprise twist, Trump is only down 32,500! And Republicans tend to outvote Democrats on Election Day in Florida.

EDITOR'S NOTE: A late poll showed Trump nearing 50% in the sunshine state.

http://drudgereport.com/flashfl.htm


best you think again

 

lol @ the drudge report.

 

now isn't that something
you use the Huff and Puff post as your source and you complain about Drudge?

 

Repeating circular reasoning doesn't make it non-circular.

 

I swear! The Libs two favorite words are "Racist" and "Bigot" ...Talk about stale! You people need to come up with something fresh.

 

I didn't complain...I laughed. I'm very amused these days.

 

let the libs keep falsely accusing ones on the right of racism and bigotry it is driving them to the polls to shut them up they are tired of hearing it

 

It's not circular at all.

 

and I'm laughing at you for using Huff and Puff post as if they was an unbiased and creditable source
and I laughed again over your absurd hypocrisy

 

Excellent...laughing is good for the health.

Hope you're feeling as good tomorrow night.

 

A lot of those old people living on the dole were once well off living on their own with retirement accounts and everything. When they got too old and started to lose their minds the state of Florida moved in and put them in assisted living places (a cheapo places much like a cheap motel room with a bed and TV. And a room mate who drools all the time.

 

Yeah, that's why the deluded right wingers keep crying "affirmative action," "quotas," and the illusion of "reverse discrimination".

 

We'll see how amused you are tomorrow night

 

How could she possibly get well over 600?

 

It certainly is. You start with the assumption that "libs" would only stand up for immigrant rights if those immigrants could be counted on to vote Democratic. Based on that assumption, you then conclude that Hispanics must be liberal, because they are the ethnicity of our largest immigrant group these days. That's entirely circular.

In reality, views on immigration do not follow a neat liberal/conservative divide -- there are plenty of conservatives who support immigration and paths to citizenship, which is why we ALMOST got comprehensive immigration reform after Obama was elected. Further, study after study shows that Hispanics are not a monolithic group in terms of their political views. They tend to be socially conservative, for example, and more religious than the average.

Conservatives would have a good shot at a large share of Hispanics -- if they could get past the racism, xenophobia and anti-immigrant crap.

 

Ok so I actually live in Florida and yes the overall Hispanic and I don't even want to say Hispanic I'm going to call it right. It's the Puerto Ricans who have been moving here as its their number 2 destination fleeing Puerto Rico who are changing the demographic, and they take voting serious.. But sorry left drum beaters not enough for this election. Next one yes. FL easily will go Red

 

It's not circular because Hispanics are a liberal voting group. That's why Democrats wanted them in the first place.

And no, they are not conservative. Not politically, at least. 75% want a larger Government that provides more services to them. Exactly the same ratio that vote for Democrats, oddly enough. This whole "if only Republicans weren't racist!" crap is just a talking point, throw out by white liberals who are trying to get Republicans to pander to minorities.

 

Clinton is not like normal people. She can do whatever she puts her mind to. If she wants over 600 EV, she'll do it.

It doesn't matter that it's 272 to 266. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

 

Perhaps the most striking aspect of all is that everything was self inflicted. It wasn't anything the Dems did that caused the GOP to pick Trump. It wasn't anything that Hillary said that caused Trump to expose himself as lowlife trash.

All of the damage to both Trump and the GOP was entirely self inflicted. It was almost as if they were proud of being bigots and misogynists and racists.

Unbelievable but true!

 

Bush jr received 40% of the Latino vote.

 

Only because LV polling does not include Hispanic voters, especially first time voters, who are turning out in record numbers in FL.

 

Dornsife's weightings are absurd.

 

That is based upon the fallacious assumption that 100% of Republicans are voting for Trump.

Hispanic Republicans are splitting their ticket between Rubio and Hillary.

 

I look at your link and there was a lot of fluff but it was light on hard data. What I've found shows that Democrats have garnered a 32k vote edge in early voting in FL, beating out Republicans 39.6-39.0. Still quite close, but while that might seem heartening for Clinton, early voting in 2012 broke 43-40 for Democrats, but the actual results were less than 1% difference between Romney and Obama. That means that the actual results in 2012 were just a touch over 2pts to the right of what early voting indicated. Given that early voting this year only gives Clinton a 0.6pt edge (as opposed to Obama's 3.0pt edge), we would expect Trump to win by about a point and a half. Other demographic changes will likely lessen this, and maybe enough to make FL go blue, but it is more likely than not that Trump will still win there.

 

Except that Obama did absolutely nothing of the sort.