Smart money is on Republicans keeping control of House, betting site odds say

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Steve N, Oct 29, 2018.

  1. Steve N

    Steve N Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The talking heads say democrats have a good chance of taking the House, but people who are willing to put their own money on the line think differently.

    Is anyone willing to wager their own cash on the election outcome? I'm not.

     
  2. JakeStarkey

    JakeStarkey Well-Known Member

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  3. trucker

    trucker Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Last edited: Oct 29, 2018
  4. Lil Mike

    Lil Mike Well-Known Member

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    This what I've assumed since January, but we'll see. The interest in a mid term election is unprecedented.
     
  5. Oh Yeah

    Oh Yeah Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The trend is what to watch for. Some laggards will gain enough tailwind to carry them over the top. If the youngsters come out to vote then it may be a minor blue wave. If the silent Trumpsters come out then it will be a surprising upset. I'm with the later.
     
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  6. JakeStarkey

    JakeStarkey Well-Known Member

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    Well, of course, you are, Oh Yeah.
     
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  7. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Thanks for the tip... if I have any money leftover after October, maybe I'll put a few bucks down (since I didn't win the lottery last week)
     
  8. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    One data point. Here are some more.

    https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics

    https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics

    https://www.paddypower.com/politics?tab=usa



    So yeah this article is silly because it only used one data point. Bet Republican at any of three I listed. If they win you win!
     
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  9. vman12

    vman12 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Don't worry, Trump isn't a serious candidate.
     
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  10. JakeStarkey

    JakeStarkey Well-Known Member

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    Please, Steve N and Yulee, bet all your worth that the House stays red.

    You will make a fortune!!!!
     
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  11. Aphotic

    Aphotic Banned

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    Generally speaking when you elect a pompous asshat as president people come out to vote against him and the minority party agenda.
     
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  12. Lil Mike

    Lil Mike Well-Known Member

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    In 2010 the House gained 63 Republican seats and 6 seats in the Senate. We'll see how the Democrats do.
     
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  13. Steve N

    Steve N Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yep, we saw that in spades with Obama who lost over 1,000 seats nationwide.
     
  14. Steve N

    Steve N Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    How much are you wagering that it goes blue?
     
  15. Robert

    Robert Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The media can't learn.

    Recall when Hillary was such a winner the media started crying once Trump came out ahead?

    She was too shocked to give her evening speech.
     
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  16. BuckyBadger

    BuckyBadger Well-Known Member

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    The US government, the media and the DNC rigged this election with all of their power and they still failed to beat Trump. Think about that.

    They still failed to defeat Trump and he is currently President. Trump should get an AG that sends those people to jail. Obama is lucky he isn't under indictment right now.
     
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  17. citizenzen

    citizenzen Newly Registered

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    Nope. Just let the events transpire.

    Then we’ll all know.
     
  18. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Paddy Power, the biggest betting site in the world has the Dems a solid 2-1 favorite to get the house and the GOP a huge 4-1 favorite to keep the Senate. They also had Trump as favorite to beat Hillary in 2016 a week before the election. Nate Silver is also usually pretty solid. I say, Dems get House and GOP retains the Senate 52-48.
     
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  19. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    AGs can’t send people to jail champ. Only a jury of their peers can, like the ones who sent Manafort there. Trump can appoint Sean Hannity as AG and he can try to indict anyone he wants, but then he has to convict people of actual crimes.
     
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  20. KJohnson

    KJohnson Well-Known Member

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    Think it will go red since there can't be that many mentally challenged that will vote democrat after witnessing all their crimes.
     
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  21. webrockk

    webrockk Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It's Shakespearean.

    This midterm is so crucial because it means the incredible momentum behind America First will continue, and in earnest, or the globalist left having a better chance to throw a wet blanket on it.

    It's literally a battle between good and evil.
     
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2018
  22. citizenzen

    citizenzen Newly Registered

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    Your avatar clearly illustrates the side you’re on.
     
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2018
  23. webrockk

    webrockk Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I'm a sucker for individual rights, liberty and economic freedom. I suppose authoritarian state collectivists might find that evil.
     
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  24. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

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    Predictit.org has democratic control at 67 c and Republican at 37 c.
     
  25. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    I used to read Nate's blog and thought he was pretty smart. Since he got it so wrong in 2016 I looked at why he got it wrong and now I don't think the guy is anything more than a left wing hack. Most of the toss up polls show the conservative ahead but I don't believe most pollsters so I will just put my money into good whiskey and wait.
     
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