Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were some important analyses from and including the last worldwide analysis to this one:
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-022, posted 2020-09-023, 08:54 GMT +2, #12413.
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-022, posted 2020-09-023, 09:20 GMT +2, #12414.
Israel goes over 200,000 total C19 cases, posted 2020-09-023, 17:25 GMT +2, #12417.
The world goes over 32 million total C19 cases, posted 2020-09-023, 21:27 GMT +2, #12420.

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Wednesday, 2020-09-023 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
֍֍֍** 32,085,788 **֍֍֍
THE WORLD GOES OVER 32,000,000 CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES

+316,006 new C19 cases over the day before, more than the Wednesday one week before.
For the first time ever, 7 nations recorded more than +10,000 fresh C10 infections in just one day (+Israel).
TOTAL C19 cases: 165 nations with 1,000+, 96 with 10,000+, 59 with 50,000+, 38 with 100,000+, 4 with 1,000,000+.

There have now been 981,288 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +6,528 of them were on this day.
INDIA has reported more than +1,000 deaths per day for 23 days in a row and for 27 of the last 30 days total.
INDIA is also now less than 10,000 away from 100,000 total COVID-19 deaths in that nation.
Worldwide 7-day-rolling averages: a record-shattering +294,190 new C19 cases per day / +5,224 deaths per day
+1,152 Indian, +1,122 US-American, +906 Brazilian, +651 Mexican & +424 Argentinian new deaths were recorded on this day.

The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 62,385 (+395 over the day before)
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STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

It looks like the world is on target to have, once again, at least 3 peak days this week with over +300,000 per day, having started on Wednesday, 2020-09-023, but it could end up being 4 days when all is said and done. Wait and see. One important factor to note here is that the USA is NOT the main driver of a new worldwide surge in cases, as it was 3 and 2 months ago.

Also, it looks as if +cases in India are actually receding somewhat, but daily deaths are not and in a statistical rarity, India has now reported +1,056 daily deaths for the second day in a row.

The number of worldwide daily deaths (6,528 ) for the day being analysed was more than the Wednesday one week before (6,236).

An extrapolation that I have running at the USA analyses projects that the USA will hit 250,000 deaths by 2020-11-018 (we are currently circa 5 days ahead of the projections) and 300,000 deaths by early January, 2021.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. Almost all of the text below this will now disappear. There was/were 1 nation-rubrik-jump(s) on this day: Netherlands. Howevere, Israel is listed in parenthesis as the 7th nation to suddenly have +10,000 or more daily cases, a phenomenon I am pretty sure that no one ever thought would happen.

The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +50 C19 cases and above):
​

I have decreased the magnification of the WorldOMeter screenshots one final time, allowing my a number of months before the 5th screenshot is filled with 1,000 total C19 cases. If the screenshotted material is too uncomfortably small for your eyes to read, please let me know and I will readjust the magnification back to where it was. Thanks, -Stat.

India, which passed Brazil in total cases 17 days before, is now +1,102,404 (the day before: +1,045,161) cases ahead of Brazil and -1,409,369 (the day before: -1,457,441) cases behind the USA. In the coming days, that relationship will be reversed and India will end up considerably closer behind the USA and considerably far more ahead of Brazil. It is now only a matter of time before India takes rank 1 among the nations in terms of total cases and this will likely happen in October, 2020.

Also, both Peru and Colombia are racing toward 800,000 total C19 cases, well ahead of Mexico and it is quite possible that both of them will hit 1,000,0000 cases in the same week, probably by middle of October, 2020.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

4 of the top 10 nations are from the Americas.

A record-breaking 7 nations recorded more than +10,000 cases on this day. Those 7 nations accounted for 212,051 (62.2%) of all daily new cases on 2020-09-023.


​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
​

The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 206,593 / 21.05% of worldwide deaths (21.08% the day before). The USA is currently expected to hit 250,000 deaths Mid-November, 2020.

Brazil, total deaths: 139,065 / 14.17% of worldwide deaths (14.18% the day before). Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 711 per day, from 2020-09-013 = +96 days from now: 2020-12,020.

India, total deaths: 91,173 / 9.29% of worldwide deaths (9.24% the day before), -9,979 from the 100,000-death-line. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,167 per day, from 2020-09-015 = +15.3 days: 2020-10-001. India overtook Mexico in total deaths on 2020-08-028.

Mexico, total deaths: 74,348 / 7.58% of worldwide deaths (7.56% the day before). No extrapolation for 100,000 deaths quite yet.

Combined (511,179), the top four nations currently represent 52.09% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was also 52.05% the day before).

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
​

2020-07-028 (Tuesday) was the first time ever that 2 nations simultaneously reached a rolling daily death average of over +1,000, reaching a new, unwanted milestone in C19 history: USA and Brazil. Brazil has fallen in and out of the statistic now and then. It's only a matter of time before the three -or four- largest C19 countries will have continuous daily death averages of +1,000 or more. The USA had over +1,000 daily deaths on the average for 31 continuous days. That streak was broken on 2020-08-028.

India reached a rolling 7-day death average of +1,000 (or more) for the first time on 2020-09-005 and has maintained it until current.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

57 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece; of those 57, 10 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil, Germany, Spain, Italy and France.


END-FACIT: on 2020-09-023, the world travelled from 31.77 million total C19 cases over the day before, hopscotching over 31.8, 31.9 and 32.0 million to land at 32.08 million. The world will likely go over 33 million confirmed COVID-19 cases on Sunday, 2020-09-027.

-Stat

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were a number of important analyses between -and including- the last USA analysis and this one:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-022, posted 2020-09-023, 09:20 GMT +2, #12414.
Israel goes over 200,000 total C19 cases, posted 2020-09-023, 17:25 GMT +2, #12417.
The world goes over 32 million total C19 cases, posted 2020-09-023, 21:27 GMT +2, #12420.
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-023, posted 2020-09-024, 08:52 GMT +2, #12426.

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for for Wednesday, 2020-09-023 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
THE USA HAS EXCEEDED 100,000,000 TOTAL PERFORMED/COMPETED/DOCUMENTED COVID-19 TESTS

******* 7,139,553 *******

+41,616 new COVID-19 cases over the day before, slightly more than the Wednesday one w1eek before.
CALIFORNIA is now just -3,170 away from 800,000 total C19 cases, it will likely cross over that marker on 2020-09-024.
There are now 206,593 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, +1,122 of those deaths were recorded on this day
USA 7-day-rolling average = 44,465 new infections & 749 deaths per day.
14,086 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (+27 over the day before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 100.6 million

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The number of daily deaths on this day (1,122) was slightly less than the corresponding day in the week before (1,151).

It should be noted that a pretty major surge in +cases is hitting the world right now. Last week, our world had 3 days in a row of +300,000 cases per day; this week, it may even happen 4 times in a row. Wait and see. But important to note is that, unlike the phenomenon from June/July into August of 2020, this time, the USA is not the main driver of the world-wide surge. India is, and a large number of smaller nations all combined are showing daily plus totals that would have made your skin crawl just 4 months ago. However, as Dr. Anthony Fauci just said in the last 48 hours, live, on TV, and average of +40,000 per day is still way too much as we enter into the regular flu-season as well, increasing the danger of a so-called "twin-demic".

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. There was/were 0 unit/rubrik change(s) on this day.

The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

An important note about the Rubrik-Table as applies to the USA: until now, in the rubriks of +cases and +daily deaths, I had been itemizing the numbers by states and non-states. WorldOMeter, when it moved to add numerical rankings in its USA calculation table, lists DC among the states, so that value is already 51 instead of 50. Since so many non-state entities are getting way up there in numbers, I am going to stop itemizing these things anymore as of 2020-09-021. So, if for instance, you see the number 26 under the number of units with over +500 cases on that day, but you only see 24 "states" on the list, as was the case for 2020-09-021, then you will automatically know that the 2 missing units are among the non-states at the bottom of the table. This is one math-detail I am striking from all of this, it really does save me time and allows you, the reader, to do more math in your head. However, in the rubrik +deaths at +10 or more, I will still itemize the range of deaths, for instance "(11/144)" which means that the units that had more than +10 deaths had between 11 and 144, to be exact.

But as an added detail, in the top 5 states, since they are obviously shifting from FL/CA/TX/GA/AZ to other states far more frequently, as of today, 2020-09-021, I will itemize the top five states no matter which ones they are and list the state names to the left of the number. If you look at the screenshot above, you will see that the top five states for this day were: TX/CA/FL/IL/WI.

This is the last day that I am mentioning the change in the rubrik-table accounting. Tomorrow, I will drop that text.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

I have decreased the magnification of the WorldOMeter screenshots one final time, allowing my a number of months before the 5th screenshot for the worldwide figures is filled with 1,000 total C19 cases, but this also allows you to see about 5 more states on one-screenshot only rubriks (+deaths, for instance) at both the worldwide and the USA stuff. If the screenshotted material is too uncomfortably small for your eyes to read, please let me know and I will readjust the magnification back to where it was. Thanks, -Stat.

Only 3,170 cases away from 800,000 total C19 cases, California is poised to go over that mark likely today, 2020-09-024, or tomorrow (2020-09-025) at the very latest. Were California to be an individual nation instead of a US-State, it would currently be rank 5 in the worldwide C19 rankings, between Russia and Peru.
​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
​

Oklahoma is once again on the 1,000 list. Iowa is back on the 1,000 list. Illinois appears to be having a 3rd surge or wave or whatever you want to call it.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

​

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FACIT: we ended the 48 hour period analysed with 206,593 total US deaths from COVID-19.



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of considerably more than the population of MORENO VALLEY, but slightly less than the total population of OXNARD, never to get the one or the other back again.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013). 200,000 deaths were reached 5 days before, on 2020-09-015.
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:


This means that we are currently at +3,946 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 4.6 days ahead of the next milestone-projections. This value is lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+4,651), to note. As you can see, 8 days before, the USA hit the 200,000 death mark five days ahead of the milestone-projections.

I know it may be tiring to see these statistics all the time, but I do think it's important to follow the data-path every day and to put it in print, for posterity's sake, so that the naysayers cannot say "nay" without looking totally ignorant.

IN CONCLUSION: mitigate! Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the US-death extrapolation, which was adjusted on August 1st, 2020, to happen.

-Stat

 

Still, the naysayers continue to say nay. I posted a thread talking about a fall uptick and posters said again that it's because of more testing, it's because of the homeless and illegals, etc... Some people just think that if they stick their head in the sand, the problem will go away.

 

The Republican Governor of Missouri, Mike Parson, who shunned and scorned wearing a mask and who made fun of people who do, has contracted COVID-19. His wife, Teresa Parson, is also infected.

 

Super.

 

This is good!

More willing Republican volunteers to the Herd Immunity pool! Only 340,000,000 more cases of COVID to stop this scourge with the warm embrace of Herd Immunity!

 

Yes...and don't forget Herd Mentality!

 

Ew. You should be ashamed.

You too.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were some important analyses from and including the last worldwide analysis to this one:
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-023, posted 2020-09-024, 08:52 GMT +2, #12426.
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-023, posted 2020-09-024, 09:23 GMT +2, #12427.

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Thursday, 2020-09-024 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
֍֍֍** 32,401,723 **֍֍֍

+315,935 new C19 cases over the day before, slightly more than the Thursday one week before.
TOTAL C19 cases: 165 nations with 1,000+, 96 with 10,000+, 59 with 50,000+, 38 with 100,000+, 4 with 1,000,000+.
There have now been 987,156 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +5,868 of them were on this day.
INDIA has reported more than +1,000 deaths per day for 24 days in a row and for 28 of the last 31 days total.
INDIA is also now less than 8,000 away from 100,000 total COVID-19 deaths in that nation.
Worldwide 7-day-rolling averages: a record-shattering +294,241 new C19 cases per day / +5,268 deaths per day
+1,144 Indian, +945 US-American, +818 Brazilian, +601 Mexican & +390 Argentinian new deaths were recorded on this day.

The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 62,386 (+1 over the day before)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

It looks like the world is on target to have, once again, at least 3 peak days this week with over +300,000 per day, having started on Wednesday, 2020-09-023 and continuing through 2020-09-024, but it could end up being 4 days when all is said and done. Wait and see. One important factor to note here is that the USA is NOT the main driver of a new worldwide surge in cases, as it was 3 and 2 months ago.

Also, it looks as if +cases in India are actually receding somewhat, but daily deaths are not and in a statistical rarity, India has now reported +1,056 daily deaths for the second day in a row.

The number of worldwide daily deaths (6,558 ) for the day being analysed was more than the corresponding day one week before (5,651).

An extrapolation that I have running at the USA analyses projects that the USA will hit 250,000 deaths by 2020-11-018 (we are currently circa 5 days ahead of the projections) and 300,000 deaths by early January, 2021.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. Almost all of the text below this will now disappear. There was/were 0 nation-rubrik-jump(s) on this day.

The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +50 C19 cases and above):
​

India, which passed Brazil in total cases 17 days before, is now +1,156,149 (the day before: +1,102,404) cases ahead of Brazil and -1,369,368 (the day before: -1,409,369) cases behind the USA. In the coming days, that relationship will be reversed and India will end up considerably closer behind the USA and considerably far more ahead of Brazil. It is now only a matter of time before India takes rank 1 among the nations in terms of total cases; this will likely happen in October, 2020.

Also, both Peru and Colombia are both on the cusp 800,000 total C19 cases, well ahead of Mexico and it is quite possible that both of them will hit 1,000,0000 cases in the same week, probably by middle of October, 2020. Interestingly enough, the US State of CALIFORNIA just crossed over 800,000 total C19 cases on this day.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

4 of the top 10 nations are from the Americas.

Canada is on the +1,000 list - a warning sign for all of North America when C19 is flaring up in Canada.

​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
​

The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 207,539 / 21.02% of worldwide deaths (21.05% the day before). The USA is currently expected to hit 250,000 deaths Mid-November, 2020.

Brazil, total deaths: 139,883 / 14.17% of worldwide deaths (also 14.17% the day before). Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 711 per day, from 2020-09-013 = +96 days from now: 2020-12-020.

India, total deaths: 92,317 / 9.35% of worldwide deaths (9.29% the day before), -7,683 from the 100,000-death-line. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,167 per day, from 2020-09-015 = +15.3 days: 2020-10-001. India overtook Mexico in total deaths on 2020-08-028.

Mexico, total deaths: 74,949 / 7.59% of worldwide deaths (7.58% the day before). No extrapolation for 100,000 deaths quite yet.

Combined (514,687), the top four nations currently represent 52.14% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was also 52.09% the day before).

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
​

2020-07-028 (Tuesday) was the first time ever that 2 nations simultaneously reached a rolling daily death average of over +1,000, reaching a new, unwanted milestone in C19 history: USA and Brazil. Brazil has fallen in and out of the statistic now and then. It's only a matter of time before the three -or four- largest C19 countries will have continuous daily death averages of +1,000 or more. The USA had over +1,000 daily deaths on the average for 31 continuous days. That streak was broken on 2020-08-028.

India reached a rolling 7-day death average of +1,000 (or more) for the first time on 2020-09-005 and has maintained it until current.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

57 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece; of those 57, 10 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil, Germany, Spain, Italy and France.


END-FACIT: on 2020-09-024, the world travelled from 32.08 million total C19 cases over the day before, hopscotching over 32.1, 32.2, 32.3 and 32.4 million to land at 32.401 million. The world will likely go over 33 million confirmed COVID-19 cases on Saturday, 2020-09-026 or Sunday, 2020-09-027 at the very latest.

-Stat

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were a number of important analyses between -and including- the last USA analysis and this one:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-023, posted 2020-09-024, 09:23 GMT +2, #12427.
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-024, posted 2020-09-025, 09:27 GMT +2, #12434.

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for for Thursday, 2020-09-024 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
CALIFORNIA GOES OVER 800,000 CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES

******* 7,185,471 *******

+45,918 new COVID-19 cases over the day before, slightly less than the corresponding day one week before.
California in the 800,000-zone, Texas in the 700,000-zone, Florida in the 600,000-zone, a scenario I bet no one was imagining.
There are now 207,538 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, +945 of those deaths were recorded on this day
USA 7-day-rolling average = 44,411 new infections & 761 deaths per day.
14,156 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (+70 over the day before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 101.6 million

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The number of daily deaths on this day (945) was more than the corresponding day in the week before (865).

It should be noted that a pretty major surge in +cases is hitting the world right now. Last week, our world had 3 days in a row of +300,000 cases per day; this week, it may even happen 4 times in a row. Wait and see. But important to note is that, unlike the phenomenon from June/July into August of 2020, this time, the USA is not the main driver of the world-wide surge. India is, and a large number of smaller nations all combined are showing daily plus totals that would have made your skin crawl just 4 months ago. However, as Dr. Anthony Fauci just said in the last 48 hours, live, on TV, and average of +40,000 per day is still way too much as we enter into the regular flu-season as well, increasing the danger of a so-called "twin-demic".

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. There was/were 0 unit/rubrik change(s) on this day.

This is the second day in a row with no unit/rubrik changes, but with an average of over +44,000 cases per day, counts are creeping up pretty much everywhere in the USA.

The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

As I noted in the big headline above, at current, CA is in the 800,000-zone, TX is in the 700,000-zone and FL is at the very upper end of the 600,000-zone. Probably by the end of this coming weekend, FL will be in the 700,000 zone, at the beginning of next month, TX will join CA in the 800,000 zone and by election day there is still the very strong possibility that CA will be at or approaching 1,000,000 total C19 cases. I am pretty sure that this is a scenario that no one was even considering possible just 3 months ago.

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
​

8 of the 16 states on the 1,000-list are from the Deep South, a 9th state is a border state (Missouri), but 4 states from the upper Midwest are also on the list. The outlier, where it is hot and dry and there is lots and lots of space for people is: Utah. To put this into perspective, Utah's total positive cases per population (20,936) is HIGHER than California's (20,249) and is also considerably higher than Ohio's (12,651). The point is: this beast is really, really, REALLY infectious.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

​

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FACIT: we ended the 48 hour period analysed with 207,538 total US deaths from COVID-19.



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more than the population of either OXNARD or FONTANA, never to get the one or the other back again.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013). 200,000 deaths were reached 5 days before, on 2020-09-015.
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:



This means that we are currently at +4,041 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 4.75 days ahead of the next milestone-projections. This value is lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+4,666), to note. As you can see, 8 days before, the USA hit the 200,000 death mark five days ahead of the milestone-projections.

I know it may be tiring to see these statistics all the time, but I do think it's important to follow the data-path every day and to put it in print, for posterity's sake, so that the naysayers cannot say "nay" without looking totally ignorant.

IN CONCLUSION: mitigate! Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the US-death extrapolation, which was adjusted on August 1st, 2020, to happen.

-Stat

 

This is not how we do this here. We don't wish illness upon anyone. This **** is serious, and regardless whether others take is seriously or not, we adults in the room must do this.

 

This is not how we do this here on this thread. Let the facts speak for themselves. This **** is incredibly infectious and I see no need to make light of it or to wish other people ill, even if they do act like morons. Some of us really DO need to be the adults in the room.

Food for thought.

 

I don't make light of this. By very few degrees of separation I know 5 people who have succumbed. I make no apologies for any time I resent folks who didn't/don't take it seriously or hold the powers that be accountable. I live in NYC where we took it very seriously while so much of the clueless defiant selfish country did not so don't lecture me.

 

The more examples of high positioned anti-maskers contracting the virus the more anti-maskers having second thoughts

 

Indeed, I am hoping that this will change some hearts and minds.

 

I can accept that, would however recommend that you voice your resentment very directly. I too am sick and tired of yahoos poo-pooing mask wearing, only to then contract and often die from C19, also because they deliberately chose to be an added burden to a health care system that is already straining like crazy. Food for thought.

 

I'm gonna leave this here and hope that people read all of it:

https://www.technologyreview.com/20...aus-covid-coronavirus-herd-immunity-pandemic/

There is a pendant to this article, in German (@gnoib ):

https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft..._ecid=soci_upd_KsBF0AFjflf0DZCxpPYDCQgO1dEMph

It's looking is if Manaus, Brazil, has reached herd immunity, and what we now see is not pretty.

This is a mass-grave in Manaus from 2020-06-020:



There are many such graves in Manaus, not just this one.

And what people have not even begun to be able to count in any reliable way is the number of people who have survived the virus but are now permanently damaged for life, a point I have been literally hammering on since I wrote the OP in March 14th, 2020.

Based on what we are now seeing in Manaus, the projections are that were we to try to go for herd immunity in this way in the USA, there would be a minimum of 500,000 new deaths, right off the bat.

-Stat

 

Sobering image given that only 6% of the population of Manaus is over 60 years old according to your link. In the US 20% of the population is over 60.

 

So much for it being a disease affecting mainly old people!
I wonder if this sort of rapid decrease after massive rates of infection, will be seen in cities in India, with low economic conditions, overcrowding etc.

 

Gov. Ralph Northam (D-VA) and his wife have both contracted COVID-19.

 

Seems like a very cogent question to me.

 

Thank you.

 

I read that article and it made my skin crawl, haunting.
They just did not die, they miserly croaked. This is a very slow death.
If you have ever had a death threatening decease, or an accident, or been shot, you know how hard you hang on to live. Fight for it, with what ever you have. Loosing that Fight must be a horrible way to go.
Knowing you have lost, for ever.
I have been twice in my live in that Fight, Big C and and a belly shot. Both were FIGHTS, big time.
At times it looked I had lost the Fight and the thought of it was horrible to me. Being so helpless, you are just going to die.
Death is part of our live and it will end our lives, too.
Thats what it is.
Twice in my life I heard the docs talking about, that I am dead meat and I could not scream at them.
I screamed, inside and proofed them wrong.
How must those in those graves have felt and screamed to stay alive.


I pushed it aside.

But I will get seriously drunk tonight, so I don not scream.

 

Sorry gnoib.

 

India is similar to Manuas in that only about 6% of the population is over 65. However I suspect that India will be following along much the same path because of the poverty levels. However I doubt that we will have much in the way of factual data until after the Pandemic is over.