Trump at 50% approval, 48% disapproving.

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by pol meister, Jul 31, 2020.

  1. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2012
    Messages:
    41,501
    Likes Received:
    14,909
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Most Americans, in survey after survey, consistently indicate they want Fake Don to go away.

    Others - like white supremacist David Duke and neo-nazi Andrew Anglin - are on record indicating that they are delighted with what he is doing to the nation:


    [​IMG]
    "This is the kind of WHITE NATIONALISM we elected him for"
    Neo-nazi Andrew Anglin

    https://www.voanews.com/usa/many-white-nationalists-praise-controversial-trump-tweets#:~:text=Andrew Anglin,
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2020
  2. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    5,903
    Likes Received:
    2,273
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Looks like he's going to have to get a different provider then if he's going to be that far off the mark.
     
  3. Durandal

    Durandal Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    May 25, 2012
    Messages:
    55,671
    Likes Received:
    27,205
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    It's just Rasmussen. They are always an outlier.
     
  4. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2016
    Messages:
    10,341
    Likes Received:
    6,383
    Trophy Points:
    113
    You don't understand the site. Not a fan of statistics?
     
  5. Durandal

    Durandal Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    May 25, 2012
    Messages:
    55,671
    Likes Received:
    27,205
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pu...p_administration/trump_approval_index_history

    It doesn't actually look quite so rosy for Dirty Don even in the latest Rasmussen polling:

    Trump Approval Index History

    Date
    | Approval Index | Strongly Approve | Strongly Disapprove | Total Approve | Total Disapprove
    06-Aug-20 | -11 | 34% | 45% | 46% | 52%
    05-Aug-20 | -7 | 36% | 43% | 48% | 50%
    04-Aug-20 | -8 | 36% | 44% | 49% | 49%
    03-Aug-20 | -1 | 40% | 41% | 51% | 47%
    31-Jul-20 | -4 | 39% | 43% | 50% | 48%
    30-Jul-20 | -7 | 37% | 44% | 48% | 51%​

    The total approve fluctuates between 46% and 51% between the dates of Jul 30 and Aug 6, for instance. Of course, amusingly in light of how trumpers want to use these numbers, a significantly higher margin of those polled strongly disapprove than strongly approve of Trump, which indicates to me that his approval will not translate into strong support at the ballot box, while the disapproval will translate to a lot of votes against him.
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2020
  6. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    5,903
    Likes Received:
    2,273
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Not if they're as far off as Nate was in 2016.
     
  7. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2016
    Messages:
    10,341
    Likes Received:
    6,383
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Just what I thought. You don't understand how statistics work.
     
  8. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    5,903
    Likes Received:
    2,273
    Trophy Points:
    113
    History shows that if the incumbent president has an approval rating of 50% or higher, he's pretty much a shoo-in to win reelection. He's been floating in the high 40's for some time now, at 51% a few days ago, and back down to 46% today. If he stay's in that range, the odd
    I understand how they don't work very well for you and Nate.
     
  9. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2016
    Messages:
    10,341
    Likes Received:
    6,383
    Trophy Points:
    113
    He wasn't off. 70% is not 100 percent.
     
  10. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    5,903
    Likes Received:
    2,273
    Trophy Points:
    113
    How far off is a 70% prediction from a 50% result? It's quite a way off, that's for sure.
     
  11. Durandal

    Durandal Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    May 25, 2012
    Messages:
    55,671
    Likes Received:
    27,205
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Trump is far too unpopular and divisive a character for his lukewarm approval hovering at or below 50% to shoe him in to re-election.

    But you just dream on.
     
  12. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    41,095
    Likes Received:
    26,663
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Because things that happen 29% of the time definitely never happen.
     
  13. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2016
    Messages:
    10,341
    Likes Received:
    6,383
    Trophy Points:
    113
    It doesn’t invalidate the numbers. It's clearly above your intellectual level. I do apologize.
     
  14. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    5,903
    Likes Received:
    2,273
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Yes I know, Nate's 71% chance of a 2016 Hillary victory will live in infamy as one of the worst predictions ever made.
     
  15. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    41,095
    Likes Received:
    26,663
    Trophy Points:
    113
    No, it will not - that model gave trump the best chance of pretty much any of the 2016 models.
     
  16. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    5,903
    Likes Received:
    2,273
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Well, that doesn't say much for the other 2016 models, does it? Other than Rasmussen, which was the most accurate of all in 2016.

    If you want to adhere to the biased losers, that's up to you. I prefer following the unbiased winner, Rasmussen.
     
  17. Denizen

    Denizen Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2013
    Messages:
    10,424
    Likes Received:
    5,355
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
  18. Booman

    Booman Banned

    Joined:
    May 19, 2020
    Messages:
    3,161
    Likes Received:
    2,714
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Not bad numbers for a Nazi, Russian, racist dictator mafia boss. Or perhaps normal people don't care about this nonsense.
     
  19. FatBack

    FatBack Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    53,111
    Likes Received:
    49,473
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    If you just make that your avatar, you could post a good bit less!
     
  20. Booman

    Booman Banned

    Joined:
    May 19, 2020
    Messages:
    3,161
    Likes Received:
    2,714
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    How old are you?
     
    FatBack likes this.
  21. Denizen

    Denizen Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2013
    Messages:
    10,424
    Likes Received:
    5,355
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    This is not a teenage dating site.

    Do you want to know what I am wearing?
     
  22. Booman

    Booman Banned

    Joined:
    May 19, 2020
    Messages:
    3,161
    Likes Received:
    2,714
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Considering you use childish terms like "poop chute" no. You're a creepy kid. Go away.
     
  23. Denizen

    Denizen Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2013
    Messages:
    10,424
    Likes Received:
    5,355
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Poop-chute evidently got up your nose.
     
  24. Booman

    Booman Banned

    Joined:
    May 19, 2020
    Messages:
    3,161
    Likes Received:
    2,714
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Sorry, we cannot continue to converse until I have proof your mom knows you are on the computer at this hour.
     
    FatBack likes this.
  25. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    [​IMG]
     

Share This Page